Perceived risk evolution in automated driving inferred from large-scale discrete ratings

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: He, Xiaolin, Li, Zirui, Wang, Xinwei, Happee, Riender, Wang, Meng
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author He, Xiaolin
Li, Zirui
Wang, Xinwei
Happee, Riender
Wang, Meng
author_facet He, Xiaolin
Li, Zirui
Wang, Xinwei
Happee, Riender
Wang, Meng
contents Perceived risk in automated driving is often measured as discrete scores that summarise riding experience but this obscures volatile peaks from sustained elevation. Here we treat discrete clipwise ratings as constraints on an unobserved inferred evolution and apply a kernel constrained inverse model to infer the temporal evolution of perceived risk. Across 2,164 participants and 141,628 discrete clipwise ratings spanning 236 hours of scripted motorway interactions, we infer evolutions under kernel constraints whose shapes follow priors from independent handset-based ratings and whose timing is fixed by scripted manoeuvre markers. The inferred perceived risk evolutions differentiate accumulated perceived risk from within clip concentration, revealing scenario differences that are not identifiable from peak judgements alone. We then map these inferred evolutions from observable vehicle and relative motion cues under strict event level holdout using a deep neural network, enabling interpretable attribution analyses. Attribution shows distinct patterns between risk rising and falling segments, with a shift toward conflict cues in the rising phase, and a rebound toward stability cues in the falling phase. Attribution concentration increases only modestly at high perceived risk levels. These results move beyond treating perceived risk as a single severity score by characterising within episode dynamics and phase dependent cue associations in scripted motorway interactions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_19121
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Perceived risk evolution in automated driving inferred from large-scale discrete ratings
He, Xiaolin
Li, Zirui
Wang, Xinwei
Happee, Riender
Wang, Meng
Human-Computer Interaction
Perceived risk in automated driving is often measured as discrete scores that summarise riding experience but this obscures volatile peaks from sustained elevation. Here we treat discrete clipwise ratings as constraints on an unobserved inferred evolution and apply a kernel constrained inverse model to infer the temporal evolution of perceived risk. Across 2,164 participants and 141,628 discrete clipwise ratings spanning 236 hours of scripted motorway interactions, we infer evolutions under kernel constraints whose shapes follow priors from independent handset-based ratings and whose timing is fixed by scripted manoeuvre markers. The inferred perceived risk evolutions differentiate accumulated perceived risk from within clip concentration, revealing scenario differences that are not identifiable from peak judgements alone. We then map these inferred evolutions from observable vehicle and relative motion cues under strict event level holdout using a deep neural network, enabling interpretable attribution analyses. Attribution shows distinct patterns between risk rising and falling segments, with a shift toward conflict cues in the rising phase, and a rebound toward stability cues in the falling phase. Attribution concentration increases only modestly at high perceived risk levels. These results move beyond treating perceived risk as a single severity score by characterising within episode dynamics and phase dependent cue associations in scripted motorway interactions.
title Perceived risk evolution in automated driving inferred from large-scale discrete ratings
topic Human-Computer Interaction
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.19121