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Hauptverfasser: Heymann, Benjamin, Sakhi, Otmane
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.03438
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author Heymann, Benjamin
Sakhi, Otmane
author_facet Heymann, Benjamin
Sakhi, Otmane
contents We consider the problem of directly optimizing a non-linear function of an outcome, where this outcome itself is the sum of many small contributions. The non-linearity of the function means that the problem is not equivalent to the maximization of the expectation of the individual contribution. By leveraging the concentration properties of the sum of individual outcomes, we derive a scalable descent algorithm that directly optimizes for our stated objective. This allows for instance to maximize the probability of successful A/B test, for which it can be wiser to target a success criterion, such as exceeding a given uplift, rather than chasing the highest expected payoff.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_03438
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Non-Linear Counterfactual Aggregate Optimization
Heymann, Benjamin
Sakhi, Otmane
Machine Learning
We consider the problem of directly optimizing a non-linear function of an outcome, where this outcome itself is the sum of many small contributions. The non-linearity of the function means that the problem is not equivalent to the maximization of the expectation of the individual contribution. By leveraging the concentration properties of the sum of individual outcomes, we derive a scalable descent algorithm that directly optimizes for our stated objective. This allows for instance to maximize the probability of successful A/B test, for which it can be wiser to target a success criterion, such as exceeding a given uplift, rather than chasing the highest expected payoff.
title Non-Linear Counterfactual Aggregate Optimization
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.03438