Reputational Conservatism in Expert Advice

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Lukyanov, Georgy, Vlasova, Anna
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Lukyanov, Georgy
Vlasova, Anna
author_facet Lukyanov, Georgy
Vlasova, Anna
contents We study expert advice with career concerns and continuous private signals. The principal always implements the safe option, and implements the risky option with a probability increasing in the expert's reputation; outcomes, when realized, update reputation. We show a unique cutoff equilibrium and continuity. Under a relative-diagnosticity condition, the experimentation threshold is increasing in reputation ("playing it safe at the top"). Comparative statics are clean, and success-contingent bonuses map one-to-one into experimentation while gatekeeping scales implemented experimentation and learning.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_04036
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Reputational Conservatism in Expert Advice
Lukyanov, Georgy
Vlasova, Anna
Theoretical Economics
We study expert advice with career concerns and continuous private signals. The principal always implements the safe option, and implements the risky option with a probability increasing in the expert's reputation; outcomes, when realized, update reputation. We show a unique cutoff equilibrium and continuity. Under a relative-diagnosticity condition, the experimentation threshold is increasing in reputation ("playing it safe at the top"). Comparative statics are clean, and success-contingent bonuses map one-to-one into experimentation while gatekeeping scales implemented experimentation and learning.
title Reputational Conservatism in Expert Advice
topic Theoretical Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.04036