A Latent Class Bayesian Model for Multivariate Longitudinal Outcomes with Excess Zeros

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Chakraborty, Chitradipa, Das, Kiranmoy
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Chakraborty, Chitradipa
Das, Kiranmoy
author_facet Chakraborty, Chitradipa
Das, Kiranmoy
contents Latent class models have been successfully used to handle complex datasets in different disciplines. For longitudinal outcomes, we often get a trajectory of the outcome for each individual, and on that basis, we cluster them for a powerful statistical inference. Latent class models have been used to handle multivariate longitudinal outcomes coming from biology, health sciences, and economics. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian latent class model for multivariate outcomes with excess zeros. We consider a Tobit model for zero-inflated continuous outcomes such as out-of-pocket medical expenses (OOPME), a two-part model for financial debt, and a ZIP model for counting outcomes with excess zeros. We develop a Bayesian mixture model and employ an adaptive Lasso-type shrinkage method for variable selection. We analyze data from the Health and Retirement Study conducted by the University of Michigan and consider modeling four important outcomes measuring the physical and financial health of the aged individuals. Our analysis detects several latent clusters for different outcomes. Practical usefulness of the proposed model is validated through a simulation study.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_04804
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Latent Class Bayesian Model for Multivariate Longitudinal Outcomes with Excess Zeros
Chakraborty, Chitradipa
Das, Kiranmoy
Methodology
Applications
Latent class models have been successfully used to handle complex datasets in different disciplines. For longitudinal outcomes, we often get a trajectory of the outcome for each individual, and on that basis, we cluster them for a powerful statistical inference. Latent class models have been used to handle multivariate longitudinal outcomes coming from biology, health sciences, and economics. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian latent class model for multivariate outcomes with excess zeros. We consider a Tobit model for zero-inflated continuous outcomes such as out-of-pocket medical expenses (OOPME), a two-part model for financial debt, and a ZIP model for counting outcomes with excess zeros. We develop a Bayesian mixture model and employ an adaptive Lasso-type shrinkage method for variable selection. We analyze data from the Health and Retirement Study conducted by the University of Michigan and consider modeling four important outcomes measuring the physical and financial health of the aged individuals. Our analysis detects several latent clusters for different outcomes. Practical usefulness of the proposed model is validated through a simulation study.
title A Latent Class Bayesian Model for Multivariate Longitudinal Outcomes with Excess Zeros
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.04804