Free Elections in the Free State: Ensemble Analysis of Redistricting in New Hampshire
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arXiv
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| Format: | Preprint |
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2025
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| _version_ | 1866914032469934080 |
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| author | McWhorter, Atticus DeFord, Daryl |
| author_facet | McWhorter, Atticus DeFord, Daryl |
| contents | The process of legislative redistricting in New Hampshire, along with many other states across the country, was particularly contentious during the 2020 census cycle. In this paper we present an ensemble analysis of the enacted districts to provide mathematical context for claims made about these maps in litigation. Operationalizing the New Hampshire redistricting rules and algorithmically generating a large collection of districting plans allows us to construct a baseline for expected behavior of districting plans in the state and evaluate non-partisan justifications and geographic tradeoffs between districting criteria and partisan outcomes. In addition, our results demonstrate the impact of selection and aggregation of election data for analyzing partisan symmetry measures. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_07328 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Free Elections in the Free State: Ensemble Analysis of Redistricting in New Hampshire McWhorter, Atticus DeFord, Daryl Social and Information Networks The process of legislative redistricting in New Hampshire, along with many other states across the country, was particularly contentious during the 2020 census cycle. In this paper we present an ensemble analysis of the enacted districts to provide mathematical context for claims made about these maps in litigation. Operationalizing the New Hampshire redistricting rules and algorithmically generating a large collection of districting plans allows us to construct a baseline for expected behavior of districting plans in the state and evaluate non-partisan justifications and geographic tradeoffs between districting criteria and partisan outcomes. In addition, our results demonstrate the impact of selection and aggregation of election data for analyzing partisan symmetry measures. |
| title | Free Elections in the Free State: Ensemble Analysis of Redistricting in New Hampshire |
| topic | Social and Information Networks |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.07328 |