Functional Regression with Nonstationarity and Error Contamination: Application to the Economic Impact of Climate Change

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Nam, Kyungsik, Seo, Won-Ki
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Nam, Kyungsik
Seo, Won-Ki
author_facet Nam, Kyungsik
Seo, Won-Ki
contents This paper studies a regression model with functional dependent and explanatory variables, both of which exhibit nonstationary dynamics. The model assumes that the nonstationary stochastic trends of the dependent variable are explained by those of the explanatory variables, and hence that there exists a stable long-run relationship between the two variables despite their nonstationary behavior. We also assume that the functional observations may be error-contaminated. We develop novel autocovariance-based estimation and inference methods for this model. The methodology is broadly applicable to economic and statistical functional time series with nonstationary dynamics. To illustrate our methodology and its usefulness, we apply it to evaluating the global economic impact of climate change, an issue of intrinsic importance.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_08591
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Functional Regression with Nonstationarity and Error Contamination: Application to the Economic Impact of Climate Change
Nam, Kyungsik
Seo, Won-Ki
Methodology
Econometrics
62M10, 62R10
This paper studies a regression model with functional dependent and explanatory variables, both of which exhibit nonstationary dynamics. The model assumes that the nonstationary stochastic trends of the dependent variable are explained by those of the explanatory variables, and hence that there exists a stable long-run relationship between the two variables despite their nonstationary behavior. We also assume that the functional observations may be error-contaminated. We develop novel autocovariance-based estimation and inference methods for this model. The methodology is broadly applicable to economic and statistical functional time series with nonstationary dynamics. To illustrate our methodology and its usefulness, we apply it to evaluating the global economic impact of climate change, an issue of intrinsic importance.
title Functional Regression with Nonstationarity and Error Contamination: Application to the Economic Impact of Climate Change
topic Methodology
Econometrics
62M10, 62R10
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.08591