Identifiable Autoregressive Variational Autoencoders for Nonlinear and Nonstationary Spatio-Temporal Blind Source Separation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Sipilä, Mika, Nordhausen, Klaus, Taskinen, Sara
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Sipilä, Mika
Nordhausen, Klaus
Taskinen, Sara
author_facet Sipilä, Mika
Nordhausen, Klaus
Taskinen, Sara
contents The modeling and prediction of multivariate spatio-temporal data involve numerous challenges. Dimension reduction methods can significantly simplify this process, provided that they account for the complex dependencies between variables and across time and space. Nonlinear blind source separation has emerged as a promising approach, particularly following recent advances in identifiability results. Building on these developments, we introduce the identifiable autoregressive variational autoencoder, which ensures the identifiability of latent components consisting of nonstationary autoregressive processes. The blind source separation efficacy of the proposed method is showcased through a simulation study, where it is compared against state-of-the-art methods, and the spatio-temporal prediction performance is evaluated against several competitors on air pollution and weather datasets.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_11962
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Identifiable Autoregressive Variational Autoencoders for Nonlinear and Nonstationary Spatio-Temporal Blind Source Separation
Sipilä, Mika
Nordhausen, Klaus
Taskinen, Sara
Machine Learning
Methodology
The modeling and prediction of multivariate spatio-temporal data involve numerous challenges. Dimension reduction methods can significantly simplify this process, provided that they account for the complex dependencies between variables and across time and space. Nonlinear blind source separation has emerged as a promising approach, particularly following recent advances in identifiability results. Building on these developments, we introduce the identifiable autoregressive variational autoencoder, which ensures the identifiability of latent components consisting of nonstationary autoregressive processes. The blind source separation efficacy of the proposed method is showcased through a simulation study, where it is compared against state-of-the-art methods, and the spatio-temporal prediction performance is evaluated against several competitors on air pollution and weather datasets.
title Identifiable Autoregressive Variational Autoencoders for Nonlinear and Nonstationary Spatio-Temporal Blind Source Separation
topic Machine Learning
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.11962