Higher-order Network phenomena of cascading failures in resilient cities

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Song, Jinghua, Wang, Yuan, Yan, Zimo
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Song, Jinghua
Wang, Yuan
Yan, Zimo
author_facet Song, Jinghua
Wang, Yuan
Yan, Zimo
contents Modern urban resilience is threatened by cascading failures in multimodal transport networks, where localized shocks trigger widespread paralysis. Existing models, limited by their focus on pairwise interactions, often underestimate this systemic risk. To address this, we introduce a framework that confronts higher-order network theory with empirical evidence from a large-scale, real-world multimodal transport network. Our findings confirm a fundamental duality: network integration enhances static robustness metrics but simultaneously creates the structural pathways for catastrophic cascades. Crucially, we uncover the source of this paradox: a profound disconnect between static network structure and dynamic functional failure. We provide strong evidence that metrics derived from the network's static blueprint-encompassing both conventional low-order centrality and novel higher-order structural analyses-are fundamentally disconnected from and thus poor predictors of a system's dynamic functional resilience. This result highlights the inherent limitations of static analysis and underscores the need for a paradigm shift towards dynamic models to design and manage truly resilient urban systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_13808
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Higher-order Network phenomena of cascading failures in resilient cities
Song, Jinghua
Wang, Yuan
Yan, Zimo
Social and Information Networks
Computers and Society
Modern urban resilience is threatened by cascading failures in multimodal transport networks, where localized shocks trigger widespread paralysis. Existing models, limited by their focus on pairwise interactions, often underestimate this systemic risk. To address this, we introduce a framework that confronts higher-order network theory with empirical evidence from a large-scale, real-world multimodal transport network. Our findings confirm a fundamental duality: network integration enhances static robustness metrics but simultaneously creates the structural pathways for catastrophic cascades. Crucially, we uncover the source of this paradox: a profound disconnect between static network structure and dynamic functional failure. We provide strong evidence that metrics derived from the network's static blueprint-encompassing both conventional low-order centrality and novel higher-order structural analyses-are fundamentally disconnected from and thus poor predictors of a system's dynamic functional resilience. This result highlights the inherent limitations of static analysis and underscores the need for a paradigm shift towards dynamic models to design and manage truly resilient urban systems.
title Higher-order Network phenomena of cascading failures in resilient cities
topic Social and Information Networks
Computers and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.13808