Semiparametric Learning from Open-Set Label Shift Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Liu, Siyan, Liu, Yukun, Tian, Qinglong, Li, Pengfei, Qin, Jing
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Liu, Siyan
Liu, Yukun
Tian, Qinglong
Li, Pengfei
Qin, Jing
author_facet Liu, Siyan
Liu, Yukun
Tian, Qinglong
Li, Pengfei
Qin, Jing
contents We study the open-set label shift problem, where the test data may include a novel class absent from training. This setting is challenging because both the class proportions and the distribution of the novel class are not identifiable without extra assumptions. Existing approaches often rely on restrictive separability conditions, prior knowledge, or computationally infeasible procedures, and some may lack theoretical guarantees. We propose a semiparametric density ratio model framework that ensures identifiability while allowing overlap between novel and known classes. Within this framework, we develop maximum empirical likelihood estimators and confidence intervals for class proportions, establish their asymptotic validity, and design a stable Expectation-Maximization algorithm for computation. We further construct an approximately optimal classifier based on posterior probabilities with theoretical guarantees. Simulations and a real data application confirm that our methods improve both estimation accuracy and classification performance compared with existing approaches.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_14522
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Semiparametric Learning from Open-Set Label Shift Data
Liu, Siyan
Liu, Yukun
Tian, Qinglong
Li, Pengfei
Qin, Jing
Methodology
Machine Learning
We study the open-set label shift problem, where the test data may include a novel class absent from training. This setting is challenging because both the class proportions and the distribution of the novel class are not identifiable without extra assumptions. Existing approaches often rely on restrictive separability conditions, prior knowledge, or computationally infeasible procedures, and some may lack theoretical guarantees. We propose a semiparametric density ratio model framework that ensures identifiability while allowing overlap between novel and known classes. Within this framework, we develop maximum empirical likelihood estimators and confidence intervals for class proportions, establish their asymptotic validity, and design a stable Expectation-Maximization algorithm for computation. We further construct an approximately optimal classifier based on posterior probabilities with theoretical guarantees. Simulations and a real data application confirm that our methods improve both estimation accuracy and classification performance compared with existing approaches.
title Semiparametric Learning from Open-Set Label Shift Data
topic Methodology
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.14522