Invariant Modeling for Joint Distributions

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Chambers, Christopher P., Masatlioglu, Yusufcan, Wang, Ruodu
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Chambers, Christopher P.
Masatlioglu, Yusufcan
Wang, Ruodu
author_facet Chambers, Christopher P.
Masatlioglu, Yusufcan
Wang, Ruodu
contents A common theme underlying many problems in statistics and economics involves the determination of a systematic method of selecting a joint distribution consistent with a specified list of categorical marginals, some of which have an ordinal structure. We propose guidance in narrowing down the set of possible methods by introducing Invariant Aggregation (IA), a natural property that requires merging adjacent categories in one marginal not to alter the joint distribution over unaffected values. We prove that a model satisfies IA if and only if it is a copula model. This characterization ensures i) robustness against data manipulation and survey design, and ii) allows seamless incorporation of new variables. Our results provide both theoretical clarity and practical safeguards for inference under marginal constraints.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_15165
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Invariant Modeling for Joint Distributions
Chambers, Christopher P.
Masatlioglu, Yusufcan
Wang, Ruodu
Theoretical Economics
A common theme underlying many problems in statistics and economics involves the determination of a systematic method of selecting a joint distribution consistent with a specified list of categorical marginals, some of which have an ordinal structure. We propose guidance in narrowing down the set of possible methods by introducing Invariant Aggregation (IA), a natural property that requires merging adjacent categories in one marginal not to alter the joint distribution over unaffected values. We prove that a model satisfies IA if and only if it is a copula model. This characterization ensures i) robustness against data manipulation and survey design, and ii) allows seamless incorporation of new variables. Our results provide both theoretical clarity and practical safeguards for inference under marginal constraints.
title Invariant Modeling for Joint Distributions
topic Theoretical Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.15165