Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Inference of the Hubble Constant and Neutrino Mass from BAO, CMB Lensing, and Galaxy Weak Lensing and Clustering

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Main Authors: Escudero, Helena García, Mirpoorian, Seyed Hamidreza, Pogosian, Levon
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Escudero, Helena García
Mirpoorian, Seyed Hamidreza
Pogosian, Levon
author_facet Escudero, Helena García
Mirpoorian, Seyed Hamidreza
Pogosian, Levon
contents We present a sound-horizon-agnostic determination of the Hubble constant, $H_0$, by combining DESI DR2 baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) data with the latest cosmic microwave background (CMB) lensing measurements from Planck, ACT, and SPT-3G, the angular size of the CMB acoustic scale, Dark Energy Survey Year-3 ($3\times2$-pt) galaxy weak lensing and clustering correlations, and the Pantheon+ supernova sample. In this analysis, The sound horizon at the drag epoch, $r_d$, is treated as a free parameter. By combining uncalibrated comoving distances from BAO and supernovae with constraints on the matter density $Ω_m h^2$ from CMB and galaxy lensing/clustering, we break the $r_d$-$H_0$ degeneracy and obtain $H_0 = 70.0 \pm 1.7$ km/s/Mpc when the sum of the neutrino masses is fixed at $Σm_ν= 0.06$ eV. With an informative prior on the amplitude of primordial fluctuations, $A_s$, we find $H_0 = 70.03 \pm 0.97$ km/s/Mpc. Allowing $Σm_ν$ to vary, we find that the neutrino mass is weakly constrained and strongly prior-dependent. Consequently, the inferred $H_0$ is sensitive to the choice of the $Σm_ν$ prior, with a uniform prior biasing results toward larger neutrino masses and higher $H_0$, while a logarithmic prior reduces this bias significantly. Forecasts for the completed DESI BAO program, combined with Simons-Observatory-like CMB lensing, next-generation $3\times2$-pt data, and expanded supernova samples predict $σ(H_0) \simeq 0.67$ km/s/Mpc with fixed $Σm_ν$, and $σ(H_0) \simeq 1.1$ km/s/Mpc with $Σm_ν< 0.133$ ($<0.263$) eV at 68% (95%) CL when $Σm_ν$ is varied.
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institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Inference of the Hubble Constant and Neutrino Mass from BAO, CMB Lensing, and Galaxy Weak Lensing and Clustering
Escudero, Helena García
Mirpoorian, Seyed Hamidreza
Pogosian, Levon
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
We present a sound-horizon-agnostic determination of the Hubble constant, $H_0$, by combining DESI DR2 baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) data with the latest cosmic microwave background (CMB) lensing measurements from Planck, ACT, and SPT-3G, the angular size of the CMB acoustic scale, Dark Energy Survey Year-3 ($3\times2$-pt) galaxy weak lensing and clustering correlations, and the Pantheon+ supernova sample. In this analysis, The sound horizon at the drag epoch, $r_d$, is treated as a free parameter. By combining uncalibrated comoving distances from BAO and supernovae with constraints on the matter density $Ω_m h^2$ from CMB and galaxy lensing/clustering, we break the $r_d$-$H_0$ degeneracy and obtain $H_0 = 70.0 \pm 1.7$ km/s/Mpc when the sum of the neutrino masses is fixed at $Σm_ν= 0.06$ eV. With an informative prior on the amplitude of primordial fluctuations, $A_s$, we find $H_0 = 70.03 \pm 0.97$ km/s/Mpc. Allowing $Σm_ν$ to vary, we find that the neutrino mass is weakly constrained and strongly prior-dependent. Consequently, the inferred $H_0$ is sensitive to the choice of the $Σm_ν$ prior, with a uniform prior biasing results toward larger neutrino masses and higher $H_0$, while a logarithmic prior reduces this bias significantly. Forecasts for the completed DESI BAO program, combined with Simons-Observatory-like CMB lensing, next-generation $3\times2$-pt data, and expanded supernova samples predict $σ(H_0) \simeq 0.67$ km/s/Mpc with fixed $Σm_ν$, and $σ(H_0) \simeq 1.1$ km/s/Mpc with $Σm_ν< 0.133$ ($<0.263$) eV at 68% (95%) CL when $Σm_ν$ is varied.
title Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Inference of the Hubble Constant and Neutrino Mass from BAO, CMB Lensing, and Galaxy Weak Lensing and Clustering
topic Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.16202