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Hauptverfasser: Basu, Sanjay, Patel, Sadiq Y., Sheth, Parth, Muralidharan, Bhairavi, Elamaran, Namrata, Kinra, Aakriti, Batniji, Rajaie
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.16291
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author Basu, Sanjay
Patel, Sadiq Y.
Sheth, Parth
Muralidharan, Bhairavi
Elamaran, Namrata
Kinra, Aakriti
Batniji, Rajaie
author_facet Basu, Sanjay
Patel, Sadiq Y.
Sheth, Parth
Muralidharan, Bhairavi
Elamaran, Namrata
Kinra, Aakriti
Batniji, Rajaie
contents Care coordination and population health management programs serve large Medicaid and safety-net populations and must be auditable, efficient, and adaptable. While clinical risk for outreach modalities is typically low, time and opportunity costs differ substantially across text, phone, video, and in-person visits. We propose a lightweight offline reinforcement learning (RL) approach that augments trained policies with (i) test-time learning via local neighborhood calibration, and (ii) inference-time deliberation via a small Q-ensemble that incorporates predictive uncertainty and time/effort cost. The method exposes transparent dials for neighborhood size and uncertainty/cost penalties and preserves an auditable training pipeline. Evaluated on a de-identified operational dataset, TTL+ITD achieves stable value estimates with predictable efficiency trade-offs and subgroup auditing.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_16291
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Test-Time Learning and Inference-Time Deliberation for Efficiency-First Offline Reinforcement Learning in Care Coordination and Population Health Management
Basu, Sanjay
Patel, Sadiq Y.
Sheth, Parth
Muralidharan, Bhairavi
Elamaran, Namrata
Kinra, Aakriti
Batniji, Rajaie
Computers and Society
Machine Learning
Care coordination and population health management programs serve large Medicaid and safety-net populations and must be auditable, efficient, and adaptable. While clinical risk for outreach modalities is typically low, time and opportunity costs differ substantially across text, phone, video, and in-person visits. We propose a lightweight offline reinforcement learning (RL) approach that augments trained policies with (i) test-time learning via local neighborhood calibration, and (ii) inference-time deliberation via a small Q-ensemble that incorporates predictive uncertainty and time/effort cost. The method exposes transparent dials for neighborhood size and uncertainty/cost penalties and preserves an auditable training pipeline. Evaluated on a de-identified operational dataset, TTL+ITD achieves stable value estimates with predictable efficiency trade-offs and subgroup auditing.
title Test-Time Learning and Inference-Time Deliberation for Efficiency-First Offline Reinforcement Learning in Care Coordination and Population Health Management
topic Computers and Society
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.16291