Highly Imbalanced Regression with Tabular Data in SEP and Other Applications

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Moukpe, Josias K., Chan, Philip K., Zhang, Ming
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Moukpe, Josias K.
Chan, Philip K.
Zhang, Ming
author_facet Moukpe, Josias K.
Chan, Philip K.
Zhang, Ming
contents We investigate imbalanced regression with tabular data that have an imbalance ratio larger than 1,000 ("highly imbalanced"). Accurately estimating the target values of rare instances is important in applications such as forecasting the intensity of rare harmful Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events. For regression, the MSE loss does not consider the correlation between predicted and actual values. Typical inverse importance functions allow only convex functions. Uniform sampling might yield mini-batches that do not have rare instances. We propose CISIR that incorporates correlation, Monotonically Decreasing Involution (MDI) importance, and stratified sampling. Based on five datasets, our experimental results indicate that CISIR can achieve lower error and higher correlation than some recent methods. Also, adding our correlation component to other recent methods can improve their performance. Lastly, MDI importance can outperform other importance functions. Our code can be found in https://github.com/Machine-Earning/CISIR.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_16339
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Highly Imbalanced Regression with Tabular Data in SEP and Other Applications
Moukpe, Josias K.
Chan, Philip K.
Zhang, Ming
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
We investigate imbalanced regression with tabular data that have an imbalance ratio larger than 1,000 ("highly imbalanced"). Accurately estimating the target values of rare instances is important in applications such as forecasting the intensity of rare harmful Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events. For regression, the MSE loss does not consider the correlation between predicted and actual values. Typical inverse importance functions allow only convex functions. Uniform sampling might yield mini-batches that do not have rare instances. We propose CISIR that incorporates correlation, Monotonically Decreasing Involution (MDI) importance, and stratified sampling. Based on five datasets, our experimental results indicate that CISIR can achieve lower error and higher correlation than some recent methods. Also, adding our correlation component to other recent methods can improve their performance. Lastly, MDI importance can outperform other importance functions. Our code can be found in https://github.com/Machine-Earning/CISIR.
title Highly Imbalanced Regression with Tabular Data in SEP and Other Applications
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.16339