Detection and Simulation of Urban Heat Islands Using a Fine-Tuned Geospatial Foundation Model

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Kreismann, David
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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_version_ 1866914048985006080
author Kreismann, David
author_facet Kreismann, David
contents As urbanization and climate change progress, urban heat island effects are becoming more frequent and severe. To formulate effective mitigation plans, cities require detailed air temperature data. However, predictive analytics methods based on conventional machine learning models and limited data infrastructure often provide inaccurate predictions, especially in underserved areas. In this context, geospatial foundation models trained on unstructured global data demonstrate strong generalization and require minimal fine-tuning, offering an alternative for predictions where traditional approaches are limited. This study fine-tunes a geospatial foundation model to predict urban land surface temperatures under future climate scenarios and explores its response to land cover changes using simulated vegetation strategies. The fine-tuned model achieved pixel-wise downscaling errors below 1.74 °C and aligned with ground truth patterns, demonstrating an extrapolation capacity up to 3.62 °C.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_16617
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Detection and Simulation of Urban Heat Islands Using a Fine-Tuned Geospatial Foundation Model
Kreismann, David
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Artificial Intelligence
I.2.6; I.5.4; I.6.8
As urbanization and climate change progress, urban heat island effects are becoming more frequent and severe. To formulate effective mitigation plans, cities require detailed air temperature data. However, predictive analytics methods based on conventional machine learning models and limited data infrastructure often provide inaccurate predictions, especially in underserved areas. In this context, geospatial foundation models trained on unstructured global data demonstrate strong generalization and require minimal fine-tuning, offering an alternative for predictions where traditional approaches are limited. This study fine-tunes a geospatial foundation model to predict urban land surface temperatures under future climate scenarios and explores its response to land cover changes using simulated vegetation strategies. The fine-tuned model achieved pixel-wise downscaling errors below 1.74 °C and aligned with ground truth patterns, demonstrating an extrapolation capacity up to 3.62 °C.
title Detection and Simulation of Urban Heat Islands Using a Fine-Tuned Geospatial Foundation Model
topic Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Artificial Intelligence
I.2.6; I.5.4; I.6.8
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.16617