Enhanced Survival Trees

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Zhou, Ruiwen, Xie, Ke, Liu, Lei, Xu, Zhichen, Ding, Jimin, Su, Xiaogang
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Zhou, Ruiwen
Xie, Ke
Liu, Lei
Xu, Zhichen
Ding, Jimin
Su, Xiaogang
author_facet Zhou, Ruiwen
Xie, Ke
Liu, Lei
Xu, Zhichen
Ding, Jimin
Su, Xiaogang
contents We introduce a new survival tree method for censored failure time data that incorporates three key advancements over traditional approaches. First, we develop a more computationally efficient splitting procedure that effectively mitigates the end-cut preference problem, and we propose an intersected validation strategy to reduce the variable selection bias inherent in greedy searches. Second, we present a novel framework for determining tree structures through fused regularization. In combination with conventional pruning, this approach enables the merging of non-adjacent terminal nodes, producing more parsimonious and interpretable models. Third, we address inference by constructing valid confidence intervals for median survival times within the subgroups identified by the final tree. To achieve this, we apply bootstrap-based bias correction to standard errors. The proposed method is assessed through extensive simulation studies and illustrated with data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) study.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_18494
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Enhanced Survival Trees
Zhou, Ruiwen
Xie, Ke
Liu, Lei
Xu, Zhichen
Ding, Jimin
Su, Xiaogang
Methodology
Machine Learning
62N01, 62G05
We introduce a new survival tree method for censored failure time data that incorporates three key advancements over traditional approaches. First, we develop a more computationally efficient splitting procedure that effectively mitigates the end-cut preference problem, and we propose an intersected validation strategy to reduce the variable selection bias inherent in greedy searches. Second, we present a novel framework for determining tree structures through fused regularization. In combination with conventional pruning, this approach enables the merging of non-adjacent terminal nodes, producing more parsimonious and interpretable models. Third, we address inference by constructing valid confidence intervals for median survival times within the subgroups identified by the final tree. To achieve this, we apply bootstrap-based bias correction to standard errors. The proposed method is assessed through extensive simulation studies and illustrated with data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) study.
title Enhanced Survival Trees
topic Methodology
Machine Learning
62N01, 62G05
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.18494