Forecasting Seismic Waveforms: A Deep Learning Approach for Einstein Telescope

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Esmail, Waleed, Kappes, Alexander, Russell, Stuart, Thomas, Christine
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Esmail, Waleed
Kappes, Alexander
Russell, Stuart
Thomas, Christine
author_facet Esmail, Waleed
Kappes, Alexander
Russell, Stuart
Thomas, Christine
contents We introduce \textit{SeismoGPT}, a transformer-based model for forecasting three-component seismic waveforms in the context of future gravitational wave detectors like the Einstein Telescope. The model is trained in an autoregressive setting and can operate on both single-station and array-based inputs. By learning temporal and spatial dependencies directly from waveform data, SeismoGPT captures realistic ground motion patterns and provides accurate short-term forecasts. Our results show that the model performs well within the immediate prediction window and gradually degrades further ahead, as expected in autoregressive systems. This approach lays the groundwork for data-driven seismic forecasting that could support Newtonian noise mitigation and real-time observatory control.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_21446
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Forecasting Seismic Waveforms: A Deep Learning Approach for Einstein Telescope
Esmail, Waleed
Kappes, Alexander
Russell, Stuart
Thomas, Christine
Machine Learning
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
We introduce \textit{SeismoGPT}, a transformer-based model for forecasting three-component seismic waveforms in the context of future gravitational wave detectors like the Einstein Telescope. The model is trained in an autoregressive setting and can operate on both single-station and array-based inputs. By learning temporal and spatial dependencies directly from waveform data, SeismoGPT captures realistic ground motion patterns and provides accurate short-term forecasts. Our results show that the model performs well within the immediate prediction window and gradually degrades further ahead, as expected in autoregressive systems. This approach lays the groundwork for data-driven seismic forecasting that could support Newtonian noise mitigation and real-time observatory control.
title Forecasting Seismic Waveforms: A Deep Learning Approach for Einstein Telescope
topic Machine Learning
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.21446