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Main Authors: Soiffer, Duncan, Kolawole, Steven, Smith, Virginia
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.21837
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author Soiffer, Duncan
Kolawole, Steven
Smith, Virginia
author_facet Soiffer, Duncan
Kolawole, Steven
Smith, Virginia
contents Cascade systems route computational requests to smaller models when possible and defer to larger models only when necessary, offering a promising approach to balance cost and quality in LLM deployment. However, they face a fundamental challenge in open-ended text generation: determining output reliability when generation quality lies on a continuous spectrum, often with multiple valid responses. To address this, we propose semantic agreement -- meaning-level consensus between ensemble outputs -- as a training-free signal for reliable deferral. We show that when diverse model outputs agree semantically, their consensus is a stronger reliability signal than token-level confidence. Evaluated from 500M to 70B-parameter models, we find that semantic cascades match or surpass target-model quality at 40% of the cost and reduce latency by up to 60%. Our method requires no model internals, works across black-box APIs, and remains robust to model updates, making it a practical baseline for real-world LLM deployment.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_21837
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Semantic Agreement Enables Efficient Open-Ended LLM Cascades
Soiffer, Duncan
Kolawole, Steven
Smith, Virginia
Computation and Language
Cascade systems route computational requests to smaller models when possible and defer to larger models only when necessary, offering a promising approach to balance cost and quality in LLM deployment. However, they face a fundamental challenge in open-ended text generation: determining output reliability when generation quality lies on a continuous spectrum, often with multiple valid responses. To address this, we propose semantic agreement -- meaning-level consensus between ensemble outputs -- as a training-free signal for reliable deferral. We show that when diverse model outputs agree semantically, their consensus is a stronger reliability signal than token-level confidence. Evaluated from 500M to 70B-parameter models, we find that semantic cascades match or surpass target-model quality at 40% of the cost and reduce latency by up to 60%. Our method requires no model internals, works across black-box APIs, and remains robust to model updates, making it a practical baseline for real-world LLM deployment.
title Semantic Agreement Enables Efficient Open-Ended LLM Cascades
topic Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.21837