IndexNet: Timestamp and Variable-Aware Modeling for Time Series Forecasting

Fuente: arXiv
Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Wu, Beiliang, Liu, Peiyuan, Hu, Yifan, Zhang, Luyan, Hu, Ao, Xu, Zenglin
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1866908572725542912
author Wu, Beiliang
Liu, Peiyuan
Hu, Yifan
Zhang, Luyan
Hu, Ao
Xu, Zenglin
author_facet Wu, Beiliang
Liu, Peiyuan
Hu, Yifan
Zhang, Luyan
Hu, Ao
Xu, Zenglin
contents Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) plays a vital role in a wide range of real-world applications, such as weather prediction and traffic flow forecasting. Although recent advances have significantly improved the modeling of temporal dynamics and inter-variable dependencies, most existing methods overlook index-related descriptive information, such as timestamps and variable indices, which carry rich contextual semantics. To unlock the potential of such information and take advantage of the lightweight and powerful periodic capture ability of MLP-based architectures, we propose IndexNet, an MLP-based framework augmented with an Index Embedding (IE) module. The IE module consists of two key components: Timestamp Embedding (TE) and Channel Embedding (CE). Specifically, TE transforms timestamps into embedding vectors and injects them into the input sequence, thereby improving the model's ability to capture long-term complex periodic patterns. In parallel, CE assigns each variable a unique and trainable identity embedding based on its index, allowing the model to explicitly distinguish between heterogeneous variables and avoid homogenized predictions when input sequences seem close. Extensive experiments on 12 diverse real-world datasets demonstrate that IndexNet achieves comparable performance across mainstream baselines, validating the effectiveness of our temporally and variably aware design. Moreover, plug-and-play experiments and visualization analyses further reveal that IndexNet exhibits strong generality and interpretability, two aspects that remain underexplored in current MTSF research.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_23813
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle IndexNet: Timestamp and Variable-Aware Modeling for Time Series Forecasting
Wu, Beiliang
Liu, Peiyuan
Hu, Yifan
Zhang, Luyan
Hu, Ao
Xu, Zenglin
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) plays a vital role in a wide range of real-world applications, such as weather prediction and traffic flow forecasting. Although recent advances have significantly improved the modeling of temporal dynamics and inter-variable dependencies, most existing methods overlook index-related descriptive information, such as timestamps and variable indices, which carry rich contextual semantics. To unlock the potential of such information and take advantage of the lightweight and powerful periodic capture ability of MLP-based architectures, we propose IndexNet, an MLP-based framework augmented with an Index Embedding (IE) module. The IE module consists of two key components: Timestamp Embedding (TE) and Channel Embedding (CE). Specifically, TE transforms timestamps into embedding vectors and injects them into the input sequence, thereby improving the model's ability to capture long-term complex periodic patterns. In parallel, CE assigns each variable a unique and trainable identity embedding based on its index, allowing the model to explicitly distinguish between heterogeneous variables and avoid homogenized predictions when input sequences seem close. Extensive experiments on 12 diverse real-world datasets demonstrate that IndexNet achieves comparable performance across mainstream baselines, validating the effectiveness of our temporally and variably aware design. Moreover, plug-and-play experiments and visualization analyses further reveal that IndexNet exhibits strong generality and interpretability, two aspects that remain underexplored in current MTSF research.
title IndexNet: Timestamp and Variable-Aware Modeling for Time Series Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.23813