Beyond Point Estimates: Likelihood-Based Full-Posterior Wireless Localization

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Lei, Haozhe, Guo, Hao, Svensson, Tommy, Rangan, Sundeep
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Lei, Haozhe
Guo, Hao
Svensson, Tommy
Rangan, Sundeep
author_facet Lei, Haozhe
Guo, Hao
Svensson, Tommy
Rangan, Sundeep
contents Modern wireless systems require not only position estimates, but also quantified uncertainty to support planning, control, and radio resource management. We formulate localization as posterior inference of an unknown transmitter location from receiver measurements. We propose Monte Carlo Candidate-Likelihood Estimation (MC-CLE), which trains a neural scoring network using Monte Carlo sampling to compare true and candidate transmitter locations. We show that in line-of-sight simulations with a multi-antenna receiver, MC-CLE learns critical properties including angular ambiguity and front-to-back antenna patterns. MC-CLE also achieves lower cross-entropy loss relative to a uniform baseline and Gaussian posteriors. alternatives under a uniform-loss metric.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_25719
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Beyond Point Estimates: Likelihood-Based Full-Posterior Wireless Localization
Lei, Haozhe
Guo, Hao
Svensson, Tommy
Rangan, Sundeep
Signal Processing
Information Theory
Machine Learning
Modern wireless systems require not only position estimates, but also quantified uncertainty to support planning, control, and radio resource management. We formulate localization as posterior inference of an unknown transmitter location from receiver measurements. We propose Monte Carlo Candidate-Likelihood Estimation (MC-CLE), which trains a neural scoring network using Monte Carlo sampling to compare true and candidate transmitter locations. We show that in line-of-sight simulations with a multi-antenna receiver, MC-CLE learns critical properties including angular ambiguity and front-to-back antenna patterns. MC-CLE also achieves lower cross-entropy loss relative to a uniform baseline and Gaussian posteriors. alternatives under a uniform-loss metric.
title Beyond Point Estimates: Likelihood-Based Full-Posterior Wireless Localization
topic Signal Processing
Information Theory
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.25719