Are neural scaling laws leading quantum chemistry astray?

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Lee, Siwoo, Dieng, Adji Bousso
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Lee, Siwoo
Dieng, Adji Bousso
author_facet Lee, Siwoo
Dieng, Adji Bousso
contents Neural scaling laws are driving the machine learning community toward training ever-larger foundation models across domains, assuring high accuracy and transferable representations for extrapolative tasks. We test this promise in quantum chemistry by scaling model capacity and training data from quantum chemical calculations. As a generalization task, we evaluate the resulting models' predictions of the bond dissociation energy of neutral H$_2$, the simplest possible molecule. We find that, regardless of dataset size or model capacity, models trained only on stable structures fail dramatically to even qualitatively reproduce the H$_2$ energy curve. Only when compressed and stretched geometries are explicitly included in training do the predictions roughly resemble the correct shape. Nonetheless, the largest foundation models trained on the largest and most diverse datasets containing dissociating diatomics exhibit serious failures on simple diatomic molecules. Most strikingly, they cannot reproduce the trivial repulsive energy curve of two bare protons, revealing their failure to learn the basic Coulomb's law involved in electronic structure theory. These results suggest that scaling alone is insufficient for building reliable quantum chemical models.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2509_26397
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Are neural scaling laws leading quantum chemistry astray?
Lee, Siwoo
Dieng, Adji Bousso
Chemical Physics
Machine Learning
Computational Physics
Neural scaling laws are driving the machine learning community toward training ever-larger foundation models across domains, assuring high accuracy and transferable representations for extrapolative tasks. We test this promise in quantum chemistry by scaling model capacity and training data from quantum chemical calculations. As a generalization task, we evaluate the resulting models' predictions of the bond dissociation energy of neutral H$_2$, the simplest possible molecule. We find that, regardless of dataset size or model capacity, models trained only on stable structures fail dramatically to even qualitatively reproduce the H$_2$ energy curve. Only when compressed and stretched geometries are explicitly included in training do the predictions roughly resemble the correct shape. Nonetheless, the largest foundation models trained on the largest and most diverse datasets containing dissociating diatomics exhibit serious failures on simple diatomic molecules. Most strikingly, they cannot reproduce the trivial repulsive energy curve of two bare protons, revealing their failure to learn the basic Coulomb's law involved in electronic structure theory. These results suggest that scaling alone is insufficient for building reliable quantum chemical models.
title Are neural scaling laws leading quantum chemistry astray?
topic Chemical Physics
Machine Learning
Computational Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.26397