Robust State-space Reconstruction of Brain Dynamics via Bootstrap Monte Carlo SSA

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Wiafe, Sir-Lord, Hinsley, Carter, Calhoun, Vince D.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Wiafe, Sir-Lord
Hinsley, Carter
Calhoun, Vince D.
author_facet Wiafe, Sir-Lord
Hinsley, Carter
Calhoun, Vince D.
contents Reconstructing latent state-space geometry from time series provides a powerful route to studying nonlinear dynamics across complex systems. Delay-coordinate embedding provides the theoretical basis but assumes long, noise-free recordings, which many domains violate. In neuroimaging, for example, fMRI is short and noisy; low sampling and strong red noise obscure oscillations and destabilize embeddings. We propose bootstrap Monte Carlo SSA with a red-noise null and bootstrap stability to retain only oscillatory modes that reproducibly exceed noise. This produces reconstructions that are red-noise-robust and mode-robust, enhancing determinism and stabilizing subsequent embeddings. Our results show that BMC-SSA improves the reliability of functional measures and uncovers differences in state-space dynamics in fMRI, offering a general framework for robust embeddings of noisy, finite signals.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_00011
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Robust State-space Reconstruction of Brain Dynamics via Bootstrap Monte Carlo SSA
Wiafe, Sir-Lord
Hinsley, Carter
Calhoun, Vince D.
Neurons and Cognition
Reconstructing latent state-space geometry from time series provides a powerful route to studying nonlinear dynamics across complex systems. Delay-coordinate embedding provides the theoretical basis but assumes long, noise-free recordings, which many domains violate. In neuroimaging, for example, fMRI is short and noisy; low sampling and strong red noise obscure oscillations and destabilize embeddings. We propose bootstrap Monte Carlo SSA with a red-noise null and bootstrap stability to retain only oscillatory modes that reproducibly exceed noise. This produces reconstructions that are red-noise-robust and mode-robust, enhancing determinism and stabilizing subsequent embeddings. Our results show that BMC-SSA improves the reliability of functional measures and uncovers differences in state-space dynamics in fMRI, offering a general framework for robust embeddings of noisy, finite signals.
title Robust State-space Reconstruction of Brain Dynamics via Bootstrap Monte Carlo SSA
topic Neurons and Cognition
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.00011