TimeEmb: A Lightweight Static-Dynamic Disentanglement Framework for Time Series Forecasting

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Xia, Mingyuan, Zhang, Chunxu, Zhang, Zijian, Miao, Hao, Liu, Qidong, Zhu, Yuanshao, Yang, Bo
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Xia, Mingyuan
Zhang, Chunxu
Zhang, Zijian
Miao, Hao
Liu, Qidong
Zhu, Yuanshao
Yang, Bo
author_facet Xia, Mingyuan
Zhang, Chunxu
Zhang, Zijian
Miao, Hao
Liu, Qidong
Zhu, Yuanshao
Yang, Bo
contents Temporal non-stationarity, the phenomenon that time series distributions change over time, poses fundamental challenges to reliable time series forecasting. Intuitively, the complex time series can be decomposed into two factors, \ie time-invariant and time-varying components, which indicate static and dynamic patterns, respectively. Nonetheless, existing methods often conflate the time-varying and time-invariant components, and jointly learn the combined long-term patterns and short-term fluctuations, leading to suboptimal performance facing distribution shifts. To address this issue, we initiatively propose a lightweight static-dynamic decomposition framework, TimeEmb, for time series forecasting. TimeEmb innovatively separates time series into two complementary components: (1) time-invariant component, captured by a novel global embedding module that learns persistent representations across time series, and (2) time-varying component, processed by an efficient frequency-domain filtering mechanism inspired by full-spectrum analysis in signal processing. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that TimeEmb outperforms state-of-the-art baselines and requires fewer computational resources. We conduct comprehensive quantitative and qualitative analyses to verify the efficacy of static-dynamic disentanglement. This lightweight framework can also improve existing time-series forecasting methods with simple integration. To ease reproducibility, the code is available at https://github.com/showmeon/TimeEmb.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_00461
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle TimeEmb: A Lightweight Static-Dynamic Disentanglement Framework for Time Series Forecasting
Xia, Mingyuan
Zhang, Chunxu
Zhang, Zijian
Miao, Hao
Liu, Qidong
Zhu, Yuanshao
Yang, Bo
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Temporal non-stationarity, the phenomenon that time series distributions change over time, poses fundamental challenges to reliable time series forecasting. Intuitively, the complex time series can be decomposed into two factors, \ie time-invariant and time-varying components, which indicate static and dynamic patterns, respectively. Nonetheless, existing methods often conflate the time-varying and time-invariant components, and jointly learn the combined long-term patterns and short-term fluctuations, leading to suboptimal performance facing distribution shifts. To address this issue, we initiatively propose a lightweight static-dynamic decomposition framework, TimeEmb, for time series forecasting. TimeEmb innovatively separates time series into two complementary components: (1) time-invariant component, captured by a novel global embedding module that learns persistent representations across time series, and (2) time-varying component, processed by an efficient frequency-domain filtering mechanism inspired by full-spectrum analysis in signal processing. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that TimeEmb outperforms state-of-the-art baselines and requires fewer computational resources. We conduct comprehensive quantitative and qualitative analyses to verify the efficacy of static-dynamic disentanglement. This lightweight framework can also improve existing time-series forecasting methods with simple integration. To ease reproducibility, the code is available at https://github.com/showmeon/TimeEmb.
title TimeEmb: A Lightweight Static-Dynamic Disentanglement Framework for Time Series Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.00461