A subsampling approach for large data sets when the Generalised Linear Model is potentially misspecified

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Mahendran, Amalan, Thompson, Helen, McGree, James M.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Mahendran, Amalan
Thompson, Helen
McGree, James M.
author_facet Mahendran, Amalan
Thompson, Helen
McGree, James M.
contents Subsampling is a computationally efficient and scalable method to draw inference in large data settings based on a subset of the data rather than needing to consider the whole dataset. When employing subsampling techniques, a crucial consideration is how to select an informative subset based on the queries posed by the data analyst. A recently proposed method for this purpose involves randomly selecting samples from the large dataset based on subsampling probabilities. However, a major drawback of this approach is that the derived subsampling probabilities are typically based on an assumed statistical model which may be difficult to correctly specify in practice. To address this limitation, we propose to determine subsampling probabilities based on a statistical model that we acknowledge may be misspecified. To do so, we propose to evaluate the subsampling probabilities based on the Mean Squared Error (MSE) of the predictions from a model that is not assumed to completely describe the large dataset. We apply our subsampling approach in a simulation study and for the analysis of two real-world large datasets, where its performance is benchmarked against existing subsampling techniques. The findings suggest that there is value in adopting our approach over current practice.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_05902
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A subsampling approach for large data sets when the Generalised Linear Model is potentially misspecified
Mahendran, Amalan
Thompson, Helen
McGree, James M.
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Subsampling is a computationally efficient and scalable method to draw inference in large data settings based on a subset of the data rather than needing to consider the whole dataset. When employing subsampling techniques, a crucial consideration is how to select an informative subset based on the queries posed by the data analyst. A recently proposed method for this purpose involves randomly selecting samples from the large dataset based on subsampling probabilities. However, a major drawback of this approach is that the derived subsampling probabilities are typically based on an assumed statistical model which may be difficult to correctly specify in practice. To address this limitation, we propose to determine subsampling probabilities based on a statistical model that we acknowledge may be misspecified. To do so, we propose to evaluate the subsampling probabilities based on the Mean Squared Error (MSE) of the predictions from a model that is not assumed to completely describe the large dataset. We apply our subsampling approach in a simulation study and for the analysis of two real-world large datasets, where its performance is benchmarked against existing subsampling techniques. The findings suggest that there is value in adopting our approach over current practice.
title A subsampling approach for large data sets when the Generalised Linear Model is potentially misspecified
topic Methodology
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.05902