Insurance products with guarantees in an affine setting

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Gaspar, Raquel M., Schmidt, Thorsten
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Gaspar, Raquel M.
Schmidt, Thorsten
author_facet Gaspar, Raquel M.
Schmidt, Thorsten
contents To make medium- and long-term insurance products attractive, it is essential to enable participation in stock market returns. However, to eliminate downside risk, guarantees must be included, which naturally leads to the challenge of valuing such contracts within a unified insurance-finance framework. We develop a general setup that allows for the joint modelling of financial markets, mortality and policyholder behaviour. Within this framework, we propose a general affine approach and derive explicit valuation formulas for variable annuities and related contracts, while retaining computational tractability due to the affine structure. The model permits flexible dependence between mortality and equity dynamics, as supported by empirical evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, surrender intensities are modelled as functions of the underlying affine process, thereby introducing market dependence into lapse behaviour. The resulting framework combines analytical tractability with sufficient flexibility to capture key features of long-term insurance products.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_06698
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Insurance products with guarantees in an affine setting
Gaspar, Raquel M.
Schmidt, Thorsten
Mathematical Finance
To make medium- and long-term insurance products attractive, it is essential to enable participation in stock market returns. However, to eliminate downside risk, guarantees must be included, which naturally leads to the challenge of valuing such contracts within a unified insurance-finance framework. We develop a general setup that allows for the joint modelling of financial markets, mortality and policyholder behaviour. Within this framework, we propose a general affine approach and derive explicit valuation formulas for variable annuities and related contracts, while retaining computational tractability due to the affine structure. The model permits flexible dependence between mortality and equity dynamics, as supported by empirical evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, surrender intensities are modelled as functions of the underlying affine process, thereby introducing market dependence into lapse behaviour. The resulting framework combines analytical tractability with sufficient flexibility to capture key features of long-term insurance products.
title Insurance products with guarantees in an affine setting
topic Mathematical Finance
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.06698