A Deterministic Limit Order Book Simulator with Hawkes-Driven Order Flow

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Karmi, Sohaib El
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Karmi, Sohaib El
author_facet Karmi, Sohaib El
contents We present a reproducible research framework for market microstructure combining a deterministic C++ limit order book (LOB) simulator with stochastic order flow generated by multivariate marked Hawkes processes. The paper derives full stability and ergodicity proofs for both linear and nonlinear Hawkes models, implements time-rescaling and goodness-of-fit diagnostics, and calibrates exponential and power-law kernels on Binance BTCUSDT and LOBSTER AAPL datasets. Empirical results highlight the nearly-unstable subcritical regime as essential for reproducing realistic clustering in order flow. All code, datasets, and configuration files are publicly available at https://github.com/sohaibelkarmi/High-Frequency-Trading-Simulator
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_08085
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Deterministic Limit Order Book Simulator with Hawkes-Driven Order Flow
Karmi, Sohaib El
Trading and Market Microstructure
60G55, 60J75, 91G80, 91B84
I.6.3; G.3; J.4
We present a reproducible research framework for market microstructure combining a deterministic C++ limit order book (LOB) simulator with stochastic order flow generated by multivariate marked Hawkes processes. The paper derives full stability and ergodicity proofs for both linear and nonlinear Hawkes models, implements time-rescaling and goodness-of-fit diagnostics, and calibrates exponential and power-law kernels on Binance BTCUSDT and LOBSTER AAPL datasets. Empirical results highlight the nearly-unstable subcritical regime as essential for reproducing realistic clustering in order flow. All code, datasets, and configuration files are publicly available at https://github.com/sohaibelkarmi/High-Frequency-Trading-Simulator
title A Deterministic Limit Order Book Simulator with Hawkes-Driven Order Flow
topic Trading and Market Microstructure
60G55, 60J75, 91G80, 91B84
I.6.3; G.3; J.4
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.08085