Bayesian Profile Regression with Linear Mixed Models (Profile-LMM) applied to Longitudinal Exposome Data

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Main Authors: Amestoy, Matteo, van de Wiel, Mark, Lakerveld, Jeroen, van Wieringen, Wessel
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Amestoy, Matteo
van de Wiel, Mark
Lakerveld, Jeroen
van Wieringen, Wessel
author_facet Amestoy, Matteo
van de Wiel, Mark
Lakerveld, Jeroen
van Wieringen, Wessel
contents Exposure to diverse non-genetic factors, known as the exposome, is a critical determinant of health outcomes. However, analyzing the exposome presents significant methodological challenges, including: high collinearity among exposures, the longitudinal nature of repeated measurements, and potential complex interactions with individual characteristics. In this paper, we address these challenges by proposing a novel statistical framework that extends Bayesian profile regression. Our method integrates profile regression, which handles collinearity by clustering exposures into latent profiles, into a linear mixed model (LMM), a framework for longitudinal data analysis. This profile-LMM approach effectively accounts for within-person variability over time while also incorporating interactions between the latent exposure clusters and individual characteristics. We validate our method using simulated data, demonstrating its ability to accurately identify model parameters and recover the true latent exposure cluster structure. Finally, we apply this approach to a large longitudinal data set from the Lifelines cohort to identify combinations of exposures that are significantly associated with diastolic blood pressure.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_08304
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian Profile Regression with Linear Mixed Models (Profile-LMM) applied to Longitudinal Exposome Data
Amestoy, Matteo
van de Wiel, Mark
Lakerveld, Jeroen
van Wieringen, Wessel
Methodology
Exposure to diverse non-genetic factors, known as the exposome, is a critical determinant of health outcomes. However, analyzing the exposome presents significant methodological challenges, including: high collinearity among exposures, the longitudinal nature of repeated measurements, and potential complex interactions with individual characteristics. In this paper, we address these challenges by proposing a novel statistical framework that extends Bayesian profile regression. Our method integrates profile regression, which handles collinearity by clustering exposures into latent profiles, into a linear mixed model (LMM), a framework for longitudinal data analysis. This profile-LMM approach effectively accounts for within-person variability over time while also incorporating interactions between the latent exposure clusters and individual characteristics. We validate our method using simulated data, demonstrating its ability to accurately identify model parameters and recover the true latent exposure cluster structure. Finally, we apply this approach to a large longitudinal data set from the Lifelines cohort to identify combinations of exposures that are significantly associated with diastolic blood pressure.
title Bayesian Profile Regression with Linear Mixed Models (Profile-LMM) applied to Longitudinal Exposome Data
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.08304