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| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
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2025
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| Online Access: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.08611 |
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| _version_ | 1866909833731506176 |
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| author | Hawkins, Jason Zare, Mehrnoosh |
| author_facet | Hawkins, Jason Zare, Mehrnoosh |
| contents | Anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions exhibit spatial variation owing to differences in development patterns, local climate, economic composition, energy sources, and other factors. Many of these factors - and therefore their contribution to GHG production - are influenceable through spatial planning and economic policy. Recent advances in environmental data reporting and climate flux measurement have produced high fidelity GHG emissions estimates at detailed spatial and temporal resolutions. Using one such dataset (Vulcan v3.0 1-km gridcell estimates of fossil-fuel CO2 for the U.S.), we explore the relationship between land use features and CO2 emissions. Analysis is conducted at multiple scales (neighbourhoods and metropolitan areas) to explore scale law effects. Using a data-driven propensity score approach, we develop doubly robust causal estimands for the effects of multiple land use features on CO2 emissions by sector. Preliminary results suggest that per capita transportation emissions are not significantly affected by local population density after controlling for metropolitan population density factors. However, results are likely influenced by the way transportation emissions are allocated in the Vulcan dataset. Results for scope 2 residential electricity and non-electricity energy are also considered in the study. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_08611 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Multi-Scale Land Use Impacts on Fossil Fuel-Related CO$_2$ Emissions in the United States Hawkins, Jason Zare, Mehrnoosh Physics and Society Anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions exhibit spatial variation owing to differences in development patterns, local climate, economic composition, energy sources, and other factors. Many of these factors - and therefore their contribution to GHG production - are influenceable through spatial planning and economic policy. Recent advances in environmental data reporting and climate flux measurement have produced high fidelity GHG emissions estimates at detailed spatial and temporal resolutions. Using one such dataset (Vulcan v3.0 1-km gridcell estimates of fossil-fuel CO2 for the U.S.), we explore the relationship between land use features and CO2 emissions. Analysis is conducted at multiple scales (neighbourhoods and metropolitan areas) to explore scale law effects. Using a data-driven propensity score approach, we develop doubly robust causal estimands for the effects of multiple land use features on CO2 emissions by sector. Preliminary results suggest that per capita transportation emissions are not significantly affected by local population density after controlling for metropolitan population density factors. However, results are likely influenced by the way transportation emissions are allocated in the Vulcan dataset. Results for scope 2 residential electricity and non-electricity energy are also considered in the study. |
| title | Multi-Scale Land Use Impacts on Fossil Fuel-Related CO$_2$ Emissions in the United States |
| topic | Physics and Society |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.08611 |