Efficient Bayesian Inference from Noisy Pairwise Comparisons

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Aczel, Till, Theis, Lucas, Wattenhofer, Roger
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Aczel, Till
Theis, Lucas
Wattenhofer, Roger
author_facet Aczel, Till
Theis, Lucas
Wattenhofer, Roger
contents Evaluating generative models is challenging because standard metrics often fail to reflect human preferences. Human evaluations are more reliable but costly and noisy, as participants vary in expertise, attention, and diligence. Pairwise comparisons improve consistency, yet aggregating them into overall quality scores requires careful modeling. Bradley-Terry-based methods update item scores from comparisons, but existing approaches either ignore rater variability or lack convergence guarantees, limiting robustness and interpretability. We introduce BBQ, a Bayesian Bradley-Terry variant that explicitly models rater quality, downweighting or removing unreliable participants, and provides guaranteed monotonic likelihood convergence through an Expectation-Maximization algorithm. Empirical results show that BBQ provides efficient inference, well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, and more robust, interpretable rankings compared to baseline Bradley-Terry models, even with noisy or crowdsourced raters. This framework enables more reliable and cost-effective human evaluation of generative models.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_09333
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Efficient Bayesian Inference from Noisy Pairwise Comparisons
Aczel, Till
Theis, Lucas
Wattenhofer, Roger
Machine Learning
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Evaluating generative models is challenging because standard metrics often fail to reflect human preferences. Human evaluations are more reliable but costly and noisy, as participants vary in expertise, attention, and diligence. Pairwise comparisons improve consistency, yet aggregating them into overall quality scores requires careful modeling. Bradley-Terry-based methods update item scores from comparisons, but existing approaches either ignore rater variability or lack convergence guarantees, limiting robustness and interpretability. We introduce BBQ, a Bayesian Bradley-Terry variant that explicitly models rater quality, downweighting or removing unreliable participants, and provides guaranteed monotonic likelihood convergence through an Expectation-Maximization algorithm. Empirical results show that BBQ provides efficient inference, well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, and more robust, interpretable rankings compared to baseline Bradley-Terry models, even with noisy or crowdsourced raters. This framework enables more reliable and cost-effective human evaluation of generative models.
title Efficient Bayesian Inference from Noisy Pairwise Comparisons
topic Machine Learning
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.09333