A Method for Quantifying Human Risk and a Blueprint for LLM Integration

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Canale, Giuseppe
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Canale, Giuseppe
author_facet Canale, Giuseppe
contents This paper presents the Cybersecurity Psychology Framework (CPF), a novel methodology for quantifying human-centric vulnerabilities in security operations through systematic integration of established psychological constructs with operational security telemetry. While individual human factors-alert fatigue, compliance fatigue, cognitive overload, and risk perception biases-have been extensively studied in isolation, no framework provides end-to-end operationalization across the full spectrum of psychological vulnerabilities. We address this gap by: (1) defining specific, measurable algorithms that quantify key psychological states using standard SOC tooling (SIEM, ticketing systems, communication platforms); (2) proposing a lightweight, privacy-preserving LLM architecture based on Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) and domain-specific fine-tuning to analyze structured and unstructured data for latent psychological risks; (3) detailing a rigorous mixed-methods validation strategy acknowledging the inherent difficulty of obtaining sensitive cybersecurity data. Our implementation of CPF indicators has been demonstrated in a proof-of-concept deployment using small language models achieving 0.92 F1-score on synthetic data. This work provides the theoretical and methodological foundation necessary for industry partnerships to conduct empirical validation with real operational data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_09635
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Method for Quantifying Human Risk and a Blueprint for LLM Integration
Canale, Giuseppe
Cryptography and Security
68M25, 91E30, 68T50
K.6.5; H.1.2; I.2.7
This paper presents the Cybersecurity Psychology Framework (CPF), a novel methodology for quantifying human-centric vulnerabilities in security operations through systematic integration of established psychological constructs with operational security telemetry. While individual human factors-alert fatigue, compliance fatigue, cognitive overload, and risk perception biases-have been extensively studied in isolation, no framework provides end-to-end operationalization across the full spectrum of psychological vulnerabilities. We address this gap by: (1) defining specific, measurable algorithms that quantify key psychological states using standard SOC tooling (SIEM, ticketing systems, communication platforms); (2) proposing a lightweight, privacy-preserving LLM architecture based on Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) and domain-specific fine-tuning to analyze structured and unstructured data for latent psychological risks; (3) detailing a rigorous mixed-methods validation strategy acknowledging the inherent difficulty of obtaining sensitive cybersecurity data. Our implementation of CPF indicators has been demonstrated in a proof-of-concept deployment using small language models achieving 0.92 F1-score on synthetic data. This work provides the theoretical and methodological foundation necessary for industry partnerships to conduct empirical validation with real operational data.
title A Method for Quantifying Human Risk and a Blueprint for LLM Integration
topic Cryptography and Security
68M25, 91E30, 68T50
K.6.5; H.1.2; I.2.7
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.09635