The most probable order of a random permutation

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Beker, Adrian
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Beker, Adrian
author_facet Beker, Adrian
contents Given positive integers $n$ and $m$, let $p_n(m)$ be the probability that a uniform random permutation of $[n]$ has order exactly $m$. We show that, as $n \to \infty$, the maximum of $p_n(m)$ over all $m$ is asymptotic to $1/n$, the probability of an $n$-cycle. Furthermore, for sufficiently large $n$, we show that the maximum is attained precisely if $m$ is the least positive integer divisible by all positive integers less than or equal to $n-m$. This answers a question of Acan, Burnette, Eberhard, Schmutz and Thomas, originally attributed to work of Erdős and Turán from 1968.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_11698
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The most probable order of a random permutation
Beker, Adrian
Combinatorics
Group Theory
Given positive integers $n$ and $m$, let $p_n(m)$ be the probability that a uniform random permutation of $[n]$ has order exactly $m$. We show that, as $n \to \infty$, the maximum of $p_n(m)$ over all $m$ is asymptotic to $1/n$, the probability of an $n$-cycle. Furthermore, for sufficiently large $n$, we show that the maximum is attained precisely if $m$ is the least positive integer divisible by all positive integers less than or equal to $n-m$. This answers a question of Acan, Burnette, Eberhard, Schmutz and Thomas, originally attributed to work of Erdős and Turán from 1968.
title The most probable order of a random permutation
topic Combinatorics
Group Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.11698