Cover Image

Design and Implementation of a 25-Year Pseudo-Prospective Earthquake Forecasting Experiment in China (AoyuX)

Fuente: arXiv

Saved in:

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Li, Jiawei, Zhang, Qingyuan, Sornette, Didier
Format:	Preprint
Published:	2025
Subjects:	Geophysics
Online Access:	Acceder al recurso
Tags:	Add Tag No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!

Similar Items

Haicheng and Tangshan Earthquakes as potential Dragon-Kings
by: Li, Jiawei, et al.
Published: (2025)

Physics-Based Seismic Hazard and Risk Assessment: A New Paradigm for Earthquake Forecasting
by: Zaccagnino, Davide, et al.
Published: (2026)

Estimating Earthquake Early Warning Effectiveness via Blind Zone Sizes: A Case Study of the Planned Seismic Network in Chinese Mainland
by: Li, Jiawei, et al.
Published: (2022)

Estimating Magnitude Completeness in Earthquake Catalogs: A Comparative Study of Catalog-based Methods
by: Wang, Xinyi, et al.
Published: (2025)

Predicting the Future Performance of the Planned Seismic Network in Mainland China
by: Li, Jiawei, et al.
Published: (2022)

Self-Arresting and Runaway Earthquakes:Nucleation, Propagation, Gutenberg-Richter law and Dragon-King Events
by: Sornette, Didier, et al.
Published: (2024)

Integrating Artificial Intelligence and Geophysical Insights for Earthquake Forecasting: A Cross-Disciplinary Review
by: Ying, Zhang, et al.
Published: (2025)

Unifying the Gutenberg-Richter Law with Probabilistic Catalog Completeness
by: Li, Jiawei, et al.
Published: (2025)

Axial Seamount Eruption Forecasting Experiment
by: Lei, Qinghua, et al.
Published: (2025)

Endo-exo framework for a unifying classification of episodic landslide movements
by: Lei, Qinghua, et al.
Published: (2024)

Oscillatory finite-time singularities in rockbursts
by: Lei, Qinghua, et al.
Published: (2025)

Log-Periodic Power Law Singularities in Landslide Dynamics: Statistical Evidence from 52 Crises
by: Lei, Qinghua, et al.
Published: (2025)

Log-Periodic Precursors to Volcanic Eruptions: Evidence from 34 Events
by: Lei, Qinghua, et al.
Published: (2025)

Biotic Control of Earth's Climate: An Ecohydrological Perspective on the Phanerozoic Temperature Record
by: Hunt, Allen, et al.
Published: (2025)

Universal scaling between precursory duration and event size across mechanically driven geohazards
by: Lei, Qinghua, et al.
Published: (2026)

Generalized failure law for landslides, rockbursts, glacier breakoffs, and volcanic eruptions
by: Lei, Qinghua, et al.
Published: (2024)

Primary creep encodes time to failure across laboratory and natural systems
by: Lei, Qinghua, et al.
Published: (2026)

Revisiting Seismicity Criticality: A New Framework for Bias Correction of Statistical Seismology Model Calibrations
by: Li, Jiawei, et al.
Published: (2024)

Emergence of Finite-Time Singularities from Accelerated Event Recurrence: Insights into the Mechanism of Catastrophic Failure
by: Lei, Qinghua, et al.
Published: (2025)

New horizon in the statistical physics of earthquakes: Dragon-king theory and dragon-king earthquakes
by: Li, Jiawei, et al.
Published: (2024)

Endo-exo classification of episodic rock creep in deep mines: Implications for forecasting catastrophic failure
by: Lei, Qinghua, et al.
Published: (2025)

Accelerating unrest at Campi Flegrei signals a critical transition within the next decade
by: Zaccagnino, Davide, et al.
Published: (2026)

Calendar Time Local Earthquake Forecasts from Earthquake Nowcasts: A Do-It-Yourself (DIY) Ensemble Method
by: Rundle, John B, et al.
Published: (2025)

Probabilistic and Alarm-Based Evaluation of a b-Value-Driven Deep Learning Earthquake Forecast
by: Köhler, Jonas, et al.
Published: (2026)

EarthquakeNPP: A Benchmark for Earthquake Forecasting with Neural Point Processes
by: Stockman, Samuel, et al.
Published: (2024)

Neural Earthquake Forecasting with Minimal Information: Limits, Interpretability, and the Role of Markov Structure
by: Koehler, Jonas, et al.
Published: (2025)

Forecasting Strong Subsequent Earthquakes in Japan using an improved version of NESTORE Machine Learning Algorithm
by: Gentili, Stefania, et al.
Published: (2024)

From Local Earthquake Nowcasting to Natural Time Forecasting: A Simple Do-It-Yourself (DIY) Method
by: Rundle, John B, et al.
Published: (2025)

Integrating b-Value and Background Seismicity Rate for Spatial Earthquake Forecasting in the Alborz Region, Northern Iran
by: Mousavi, Muhammed Hossein, et al.
Published: (2026)

Characterizing Rotational Ground Motions: Implications for Earthquake-Resistant Design of Bridge Structures
by: Dhabu, Anjali C., et al.
Published: (2024)

Earthquake Source Depth Determination using Single Station Waveforms and Deep Learning
by: Li, Wenda, et al.
Published: (2025)

Toward a Phenomenological Theory of Earthquakes
by: Guglielmi, A. V.
Published: (2025)

Exceedance Probabilities for Large Earthquakes From DIY Local Earthquake Ensemble Nowcasting and Forecasting
by: Rundle, John B, et al.
Published: (2026)

Relativity of Time in Earthquake Physics
by: Guglielmi, A. V., et al.
Published: (2025)

PRIME-DP: Pre-trained Integrated Model for Earthquake Data Processing
by: Yu, Ziye, et al.
Published: (2024)

Toward Trustworthy Earthquake Catalogs in the Era of Automated Detection: A Probabilistic Framework for Robust Earthquake Location
by: Yu, Ziye, et al.
Published: (2025)

FASTDASH: An Implementation of 3D Earthquake Cycle Simulation on Complex Fault Systems Using the Boundary Element Method Accelerated by H-matrices
by: Cheng, Jinhui, et al.
Published: (2025)

Modelling and Simulation of the Propagation of P-SV Seismic Waves from Earthquakes: Application to Deep Earthquakes in Acre, Brazil
by: Moreira, Pedro Huan, et al.
Published: (2026)

Earthquake Declustering Using Supervised Machine Learning
by: Shcherbakov, Robert, et al.
Published: (2025)

Ground Motion Characteristics of Cascading Earthquakes in a Multiscale Fracture Network
by: Palgunadi, Kadek Hendrawan, et al.
Published: (2024)