COWs and their Hybrids: A Statistical View of Custom Orthogonal Weights

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Schafer, Chad, Wasserman, Larry, Kuusela, Mikael
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Schafer, Chad
Wasserman, Larry
Kuusela, Mikael
author_facet Schafer, Chad
Wasserman, Larry
Kuusela, Mikael
contents A recurring challenge in high energy physics is inference of the signal component from a distribution for which observations are assumed to be a mixture of signal and background events. A standard assumption is that there exists information encoded in a discriminant variable that is effective at separating signal and background. This can be used to assign a signal weight to each event, with these weights used in subsequent analyses of one or more control variables of interest. The custom orthogonal weights (COWs) approach of Dembinski, et al.(2022), a generalization of the sPlot approach of Barlow (1987) and Pivk and Le Diberder (2005), is tailored to address this objective. The problem, and this method, present interesting and novel statistical issues. Here we formalize the assumptions needed and the statistical properties, while also considering extensions and alternative approaches.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_16174
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle COWs and their Hybrids: A Statistical View of Custom Orthogonal Weights
Schafer, Chad
Wasserman, Larry
Kuusela, Mikael
Applications
High Energy Physics - Experiment
Methodology
A recurring challenge in high energy physics is inference of the signal component from a distribution for which observations are assumed to be a mixture of signal and background events. A standard assumption is that there exists information encoded in a discriminant variable that is effective at separating signal and background. This can be used to assign a signal weight to each event, with these weights used in subsequent analyses of one or more control variables of interest. The custom orthogonal weights (COWs) approach of Dembinski, et al.(2022), a generalization of the sPlot approach of Barlow (1987) and Pivk and Le Diberder (2005), is tailored to address this objective. The problem, and this method, present interesting and novel statistical issues. Here we formalize the assumptions needed and the statistical properties, while also considering extensions and alternative approaches.
title COWs and their Hybrids: A Statistical View of Custom Orthogonal Weights
topic Applications
High Energy Physics - Experiment
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.16174