Spatial Scalar-on-Function Quantile Regression Model

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Mutis, Muge, Beyaztas, Ufuk, Karaman, Filiz, Shang, Han Lin
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Mutis, Muge
Beyaztas, Ufuk
Karaman, Filiz
Shang, Han Lin
author_facet Mutis, Muge
Beyaztas, Ufuk
Karaman, Filiz
Shang, Han Lin
contents This paper introduces a novel spatial scalar-on-function quantile regression model that extends classical scalar-on-function models to account for spatial dependence and heterogeneous conditional distributions. The proposed model incorporates spatial autocorrelation through a spatially lagged response and characterizes the entire conditional distribution of a scalar outcome given a functional predictor. To address the endogeneity induced by the spatial lag term, we develop two robust estimation procedures based on instrumental variable strategies. $\sqrt{n}$-consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators are established under mild regularity conditions. We demonstrate through extensive Monte Carlo simulations that the proposed estimators outperform existing mean-based and robust alternatives, particularly in settings with strong spatial dependence and outlier contamination. We apply our method to high-resolution environmental data from the Lombardy region in Italy, using daily ozone trajectories to predict daily mean particulate matter with a diameter of less than 2.5 micrometers concentrations. The empirical results confirm the superiority of our approach in predictive accuracy, robustness, and interpretability across various quantile levels. Our method has been implemented in the \texttt{ssofqrm} R package.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_16429
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Spatial Scalar-on-Function Quantile Regression Model
Mutis, Muge
Beyaztas, Ufuk
Karaman, Filiz
Shang, Han Lin
Methodology
62R10, 62H11
This paper introduces a novel spatial scalar-on-function quantile regression model that extends classical scalar-on-function models to account for spatial dependence and heterogeneous conditional distributions. The proposed model incorporates spatial autocorrelation through a spatially lagged response and characterizes the entire conditional distribution of a scalar outcome given a functional predictor. To address the endogeneity induced by the spatial lag term, we develop two robust estimation procedures based on instrumental variable strategies. $\sqrt{n}$-consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators are established under mild regularity conditions. We demonstrate through extensive Monte Carlo simulations that the proposed estimators outperform existing mean-based and robust alternatives, particularly in settings with strong spatial dependence and outlier contamination. We apply our method to high-resolution environmental data from the Lombardy region in Italy, using daily ozone trajectories to predict daily mean particulate matter with a diameter of less than 2.5 micrometers concentrations. The empirical results confirm the superiority of our approach in predictive accuracy, robustness, and interpretability across various quantile levels. Our method has been implemented in the \texttt{ssofqrm} R package.
title Spatial Scalar-on-Function Quantile Regression Model
topic Methodology
62R10, 62H11
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.16429