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Main Authors: Yi, Bingji, Liu, Qiyuan, Cheng, Yuwei, Xu, Haifeng
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.16657
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author Yi, Bingji
Liu, Qiyuan
Cheng, Yuwei
Xu, Haifeng
author_facet Yi, Bingji
Liu, Qiyuan
Cheng, Yuwei
Xu, Haifeng
contents Synthetic data has been increasingly used to train frontier generative models. However, recent studies raise key concerns that iteratively retraining a generative model on its self-generated synthetic data may keep deteriorating model performance, a phenomenon often coined model collapse. In this paper, we investigate ways to modify the synthetic retraining process to avoid model collapse, and even possibly help reverse the trend from collapse to improvement. Our key finding is that by injecting information through an external synthetic data verifier, whether a human or a better model, synthetic retraining will not cause model collapse. Specifically, we situate our theoretical analysis in the fundamental linear regression setting, showing that verifier-guided retraining can yield near-term improvements, but ultimately drives the parameter estimate to the verifier's "knowledge center" in the long run. Our theory further predicts that, unless the verifier is perfectly reliable, these early gains will plateau and may even reverse. Indeed, our experiments across linear regression, Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) trained on MNIST, and fining-tuning SmolLM2-135M on the XSUM task confirm these theoretical insights.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_16657
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publishDate 2025
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spellingShingle Escaping Model Collapse via Synthetic Data Verification: Near-term Improvements and Long-term Convergence
Yi, Bingji
Liu, Qiyuan
Cheng, Yuwei
Xu, Haifeng
Machine Learning
Synthetic data has been increasingly used to train frontier generative models. However, recent studies raise key concerns that iteratively retraining a generative model on its self-generated synthetic data may keep deteriorating model performance, a phenomenon often coined model collapse. In this paper, we investigate ways to modify the synthetic retraining process to avoid model collapse, and even possibly help reverse the trend from collapse to improvement. Our key finding is that by injecting information through an external synthetic data verifier, whether a human or a better model, synthetic retraining will not cause model collapse. Specifically, we situate our theoretical analysis in the fundamental linear regression setting, showing that verifier-guided retraining can yield near-term improvements, but ultimately drives the parameter estimate to the verifier's "knowledge center" in the long run. Our theory further predicts that, unless the verifier is perfectly reliable, these early gains will plateau and may even reverse. Indeed, our experiments across linear regression, Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) trained on MNIST, and fining-tuning SmolLM2-135M on the XSUM task confirm these theoretical insights.
title Escaping Model Collapse via Synthetic Data Verification: Near-term Improvements and Long-term Convergence
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.16657