Temporally Detailed Hypergraph Neural ODEs for Disease Progression Modeling

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Xiao, Tingsong, Lee, Yao An, Xu, Zelin, Zhang, Yupu, Liu, Zibo, Huang, Yu, Bian, Jiang, Guo, Jingchuan, Jiang, Zhe
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Xiao, Tingsong
Lee, Yao An
Xu, Zelin
Zhang, Yupu
Liu, Zibo
Huang, Yu
Bian, Jiang
Guo, Jingchuan
Jiang, Zhe
author_facet Xiao, Tingsong
Lee, Yao An
Xu, Zelin
Zhang, Yupu
Liu, Zibo
Huang, Yu
Bian, Jiang
Guo, Jingchuan
Jiang, Zhe
contents Disease progression modeling aims to characterize and predict how a patient's disease complications worsen over time based on longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs). For diseases such as type 2 diabetes, accurate progression modeling can enhance patient sub-phenotyping and inform effective and timely interventions. However, the problem is challenging due to the need to learn continuous-time progression dynamics from irregularly sampled clinical events amid patient heterogeneity (e.g., different progression rates and pathways). Existing mechanistic and data-driven methods either lack adaptability to learn from real-world data or fail to capture complex continuous-time dynamics on progression trajectories. To address these limitations, we propose Temporally Detailed Hypergraph Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (TD-HNODE), which represents disease progression on clinically recognized trajectories as a temporally detailed hypergraph and learns the continuous-time progression dynamics via a neural ODE framework. TD-HNODE contains a learnable TD-Hypergraph Laplacian that captures the interdependency of disease complication markers within both intra- and inter-progression trajectories. Experiments on two real-world clinical datasets demonstrate that TD-HNODE outperforms multiple baselines in modeling the progression of type 2 diabetes and related cardiovascular diseases.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_17211
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Temporally Detailed Hypergraph Neural ODEs for Disease Progression Modeling
Xiao, Tingsong
Lee, Yao An
Xu, Zelin
Zhang, Yupu
Liu, Zibo
Huang, Yu
Bian, Jiang
Guo, Jingchuan
Jiang, Zhe
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Disease progression modeling aims to characterize and predict how a patient's disease complications worsen over time based on longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs). For diseases such as type 2 diabetes, accurate progression modeling can enhance patient sub-phenotyping and inform effective and timely interventions. However, the problem is challenging due to the need to learn continuous-time progression dynamics from irregularly sampled clinical events amid patient heterogeneity (e.g., different progression rates and pathways). Existing mechanistic and data-driven methods either lack adaptability to learn from real-world data or fail to capture complex continuous-time dynamics on progression trajectories. To address these limitations, we propose Temporally Detailed Hypergraph Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (TD-HNODE), which represents disease progression on clinically recognized trajectories as a temporally detailed hypergraph and learns the continuous-time progression dynamics via a neural ODE framework. TD-HNODE contains a learnable TD-Hypergraph Laplacian that captures the interdependency of disease complication markers within both intra- and inter-progression trajectories. Experiments on two real-world clinical datasets demonstrate that TD-HNODE outperforms multiple baselines in modeling the progression of type 2 diabetes and related cardiovascular diseases.
title Temporally Detailed Hypergraph Neural ODEs for Disease Progression Modeling
topic Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.17211