Admittance Matrix Concentration Inequalities for Understanding Uncertain Power Networks

Fuente: arXiv
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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Talkington, Samuel, Khanpour, Cameron, Gupta, Rahul K., Dorado-Rojas, Sergio A., Turizo, Daniel, Park, Hyeongon, Ostrovskii, Dmitrii M., Molzahn, Daniel K.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Talkington, Samuel
Khanpour, Cameron
Gupta, Rahul K.
Dorado-Rojas, Sergio A.
Turizo, Daniel
Park, Hyeongon
Ostrovskii, Dmitrii M.
Molzahn, Daniel K.
author_facet Talkington, Samuel
Khanpour, Cameron
Gupta, Rahul K.
Dorado-Rojas, Sergio A.
Turizo, Daniel
Park, Hyeongon
Ostrovskii, Dmitrii M.
Molzahn, Daniel K.
contents This paper presents conservative probabilistic bounds for the spectrum of the admittance matrix and classical linear power flow models under uncertain network parameters; for example, probabilistic line contingencies. Our proposed approach imports tools from probability theory, such as concentration inequalities for random matrices. This provides a theoretical framework for understanding error bounds of common approximations of the AC power flow equations under parameter uncertainty, including the DC and LinDistFlow approximations. Additionally, we show that the upper bounds scale as functions of nodal criticality. This network-theoretic quantity captures how uncertainty concentrates at critical nodes for use in contingency analysis. We validate these bounds on IEEE test networks, demonstrating that they correctly capture the scaling behavior of spectral perturbations up to conservative constants.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_17798
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Admittance Matrix Concentration Inequalities for Understanding Uncertain Power Networks
Talkington, Samuel
Khanpour, Cameron
Gupta, Rahul K.
Dorado-Rojas, Sergio A.
Turizo, Daniel
Park, Hyeongon
Ostrovskii, Dmitrii M.
Molzahn, Daniel K.
Systems and Control
Applications
This paper presents conservative probabilistic bounds for the spectrum of the admittance matrix and classical linear power flow models under uncertain network parameters; for example, probabilistic line contingencies. Our proposed approach imports tools from probability theory, such as concentration inequalities for random matrices. This provides a theoretical framework for understanding error bounds of common approximations of the AC power flow equations under parameter uncertainty, including the DC and LinDistFlow approximations. Additionally, we show that the upper bounds scale as functions of nodal criticality. This network-theoretic quantity captures how uncertainty concentrates at critical nodes for use in contingency analysis. We validate these bounds on IEEE test networks, demonstrating that they correctly capture the scaling behavior of spectral perturbations up to conservative constants.
title Admittance Matrix Concentration Inequalities for Understanding Uncertain Power Networks
topic Systems and Control
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.17798