Estimation of causal dose-response functions under data fusion

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Lim, Jaewon, Luedtke, Alex
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Lim, Jaewon
Luedtke, Alex
author_facet Lim, Jaewon
Luedtke, Alex
contents Estimating the causal dose-response function is challenging, particularly when data from a single source are insufficient to estimate responses precisely across all exposure levels. To overcome this limitation, we propose a data fusion framework that leverages multiple data sources that are partially aligned with the target distribution. Specifically, we derive a Neyman-orthogonal loss function tailored for estimating the dose-response function within data fusion settings. To improve computational efficiency, we propose a stochastic approximation that retains orthogonality. We apply kernel ridge regression with this approximation, which provides closed-form estimators. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates that incorporating additional data sources yields tighter finite-sample regret bounds and improved worst-case performance, as confirmed via minimax lower bound comparison. Simulation studies validate the practical advantages of our approach, showing improved estimation accuracy when employing data fusion. This study highlights the potential of data fusion for estimating non-smooth parameters such as causal dose-response functions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_19094
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Estimation of causal dose-response functions under data fusion
Lim, Jaewon
Luedtke, Alex
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Estimating the causal dose-response function is challenging, particularly when data from a single source are insufficient to estimate responses precisely across all exposure levels. To overcome this limitation, we propose a data fusion framework that leverages multiple data sources that are partially aligned with the target distribution. Specifically, we derive a Neyman-orthogonal loss function tailored for estimating the dose-response function within data fusion settings. To improve computational efficiency, we propose a stochastic approximation that retains orthogonality. We apply kernel ridge regression with this approximation, which provides closed-form estimators. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates that incorporating additional data sources yields tighter finite-sample regret bounds and improved worst-case performance, as confirmed via minimax lower bound comparison. Simulation studies validate the practical advantages of our approach, showing improved estimation accuracy when employing data fusion. This study highlights the potential of data fusion for estimating non-smooth parameters such as causal dose-response functions.
title Estimation of causal dose-response functions under data fusion
topic Methodology
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.19094