Speculative Sampling for Parametric Temporal Point Processes

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Biloš, Marin, Schneider, Anderson, Nevmyvaka, Yuriy
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Biloš, Marin
Schneider, Anderson
Nevmyvaka, Yuriy
author_facet Biloš, Marin
Schneider, Anderson
Nevmyvaka, Yuriy
contents Temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences that capture complex dependencies in time-series data. They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from the previous events. This makes sampling inherently sequential, limiting efficiency. In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm based on rejection sampling that enables exact sampling of multiple future values from existing TPP models, in parallel, and without requiring any architectural changes or retraining. Besides theoretical guarantees, our method demonstrates empirical speedups on real-world datasets, bridging the gap between expressive modeling and efficient parallel generation for large-scale TPP applications.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_20031
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Speculative Sampling for Parametric Temporal Point Processes
Biloš, Marin
Schneider, Anderson
Nevmyvaka, Yuriy
Machine Learning
Temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences that capture complex dependencies in time-series data. They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from the previous events. This makes sampling inherently sequential, limiting efficiency. In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm based on rejection sampling that enables exact sampling of multiple future values from existing TPP models, in parallel, and without requiring any architectural changes or retraining. Besides theoretical guarantees, our method demonstrates empirical speedups on real-world datasets, bridging the gap between expressive modeling and efficient parallel generation for large-scale TPP applications.
title Speculative Sampling for Parametric Temporal Point Processes
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.20031