Risk Psychology & Cyber-Attack Tactics

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Kim, Rubens, Carney, Stephan, Fonken, Yvonne, Hans, Soham, Hirschmann, Sofia, Marsella, Stacy, Wu, Peggy, Gurney, Nikolos
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Kim, Rubens
Carney, Stephan
Fonken, Yvonne
Hans, Soham
Hirschmann, Sofia
Marsella, Stacy
Wu, Peggy
Gurney, Nikolos
author_facet Kim, Rubens
Carney, Stephan
Fonken, Yvonne
Hans, Soham
Hirschmann, Sofia
Marsella, Stacy
Wu, Peggy
Gurney, Nikolos
contents We examine whether measured cognitive processes predict cyber-attack behavior. We analyzed data that included psychometric scale responses and labeled attack behaviors from cybersecurity professionals who conducted red-team operations against a simulated enterprise network. We employed multilevel mixed-effects Poisson regression with technique counts nested within participants to test whether cognitive processes predicted technique-specific usage. The scales significantly predicted technique use, but effects varied by technique rather than operating uniformly. Neither expertise level nor experimental treatment condition significantly predicted technique patterns, indicating that cognitive processes may be stronger drivers of technique selection than training or experience. These findings demonstrate that individual cognitive differences shape cyber-attack behavior and support the development of psychology-informed defense strategies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_20657
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Risk Psychology & Cyber-Attack Tactics
Kim, Rubens
Carney, Stephan
Fonken, Yvonne
Hans, Soham
Hirschmann, Sofia
Marsella, Stacy
Wu, Peggy
Gurney, Nikolos
Cryptography and Security
Human-Computer Interaction
We examine whether measured cognitive processes predict cyber-attack behavior. We analyzed data that included psychometric scale responses and labeled attack behaviors from cybersecurity professionals who conducted red-team operations against a simulated enterprise network. We employed multilevel mixed-effects Poisson regression with technique counts nested within participants to test whether cognitive processes predicted technique-specific usage. The scales significantly predicted technique use, but effects varied by technique rather than operating uniformly. Neither expertise level nor experimental treatment condition significantly predicted technique patterns, indicating that cognitive processes may be stronger drivers of technique selection than training or experience. These findings demonstrate that individual cognitive differences shape cyber-attack behavior and support the development of psychology-informed defense strategies.
title Risk Psychology & Cyber-Attack Tactics
topic Cryptography and Security
Human-Computer Interaction
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.20657