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Autori principali: Venkatraman, Padmavathi, Erickson, Sydney, Marshall, Phil, Millon, Martin, Holloway, Philip, Birrer, Simon, Dillmann, Steven, Huang, Xiangyu, Jaragula, Sreevani, Kaehler, Ralf, Khadka, Narayan, Madejski, Grzegorz, Mitra, Ayan, Reil, Kevin, Roodman, Aaron, Collaboration, the LSST Dark Energy Science
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.20778
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author Venkatraman, Padmavathi
Erickson, Sydney
Marshall, Phil
Millon, Martin
Holloway, Philip
Birrer, Simon
Dillmann, Steven
Huang, Xiangyu
Jaragula, Sreevani
Kaehler, Ralf
Khadka, Narayan
Madejski, Grzegorz
Mitra, Ayan
Reil, Kevin
Roodman, Aaron
Collaboration, the LSST Dark Energy Science
author_facet Venkatraman, Padmavathi
Erickson, Sydney
Marshall, Phil
Millon, Martin
Holloway, Philip
Birrer, Simon
Dillmann, Steven
Huang, Xiangyu
Jaragula, Sreevani
Kaehler, Ralf
Khadka, Narayan
Madejski, Grzegorz
Mitra, Ayan
Reil, Kevin
Roodman, Aaron
Collaboration, the LSST Dark Energy Science
contents Strong gravitational lensing of active galactic nuclei (AGN) enables measurements of cosmological parameters through time-delay cosmography (TDC). With data from the upcoming LSST survey, we anticipate using a sample of O(1000) lensed AGN for TDC. To prepare for this dataset and enable this measurement, we construct and analyze a realistic mock sample of 1300 systems drawn from the OM10 (Oguri & Marshall 2010) catalog of simulated lenses with AGN sources at $z<3.1$ in order to test a key aspect of the analysis pipeline, that of the lens modeling. We realize the lenses as power law elliptical mass distributions and simulate 5-year LSST i-band coadd images. From every image, we infer the lens mass model parameters using neural posterior estimation (NPE). Focusing on the key model parameters, $θ_E$ (the Einstein Radius) and $γ_{lens}$ (the projected mass density profile slope), with consistent mass-light ellipticity correlations in test and training data, we recover $θ_E$ with less than 1% bias per lens, 6.5% precision per lens and $γ_{lens}$ with less than 3% bias per lens, 8% precision per lens. We find that lens light subtraction prior to modeling is only useful when applied to data sampled from the training prior. If emulated deconvolution is applied to the data prior to modeling, precision improves across all parameters by a factor of 2. Finally, we combine the inferred lens mass models using Bayesian Hierarchical Inference to recover the global properties of the lens sample with less than 1% bias.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_20778
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Lens Model Accuracy in the Expected LSST Lensed AGN Sample
Venkatraman, Padmavathi
Erickson, Sydney
Marshall, Phil
Millon, Martin
Holloway, Philip
Birrer, Simon
Dillmann, Steven
Huang, Xiangyu
Jaragula, Sreevani
Kaehler, Ralf
Khadka, Narayan
Madejski, Grzegorz
Mitra, Ayan
Reil, Kevin
Roodman, Aaron
Collaboration, the LSST Dark Energy Science
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Strong gravitational lensing of active galactic nuclei (AGN) enables measurements of cosmological parameters through time-delay cosmography (TDC). With data from the upcoming LSST survey, we anticipate using a sample of O(1000) lensed AGN for TDC. To prepare for this dataset and enable this measurement, we construct and analyze a realistic mock sample of 1300 systems drawn from the OM10 (Oguri & Marshall 2010) catalog of simulated lenses with AGN sources at $z<3.1$ in order to test a key aspect of the analysis pipeline, that of the lens modeling. We realize the lenses as power law elliptical mass distributions and simulate 5-year LSST i-band coadd images. From every image, we infer the lens mass model parameters using neural posterior estimation (NPE). Focusing on the key model parameters, $θ_E$ (the Einstein Radius) and $γ_{lens}$ (the projected mass density profile slope), with consistent mass-light ellipticity correlations in test and training data, we recover $θ_E$ with less than 1% bias per lens, 6.5% precision per lens and $γ_{lens}$ with less than 3% bias per lens, 8% precision per lens. We find that lens light subtraction prior to modeling is only useful when applied to data sampled from the training prior. If emulated deconvolution is applied to the data prior to modeling, precision improves across all parameters by a factor of 2. Finally, we combine the inferred lens mass models using Bayesian Hierarchical Inference to recover the global properties of the lens sample with less than 1% bias.
title Lens Model Accuracy in the Expected LSST Lensed AGN Sample
topic Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.20778