Central Bank Digital Currency, Flight-to-Quality, and Bank-Runs in an Agent-Based Model

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Barucci, Emilio, Gurgone, Andrea, Iori, Giulia, Azzone, Michele
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Barucci, Emilio
Gurgone, Andrea
Iori, Giulia
Azzone, Michele
author_facet Barucci, Emilio
Gurgone, Andrea
Iori, Giulia
Azzone, Michele
contents We analyse financial stability and welfare impacts associated with the introduction of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in a macroeconomic agent-based model. The model considers firms, banks, and households interacting on labour, goods, credit, and interbank markets. Households move their liquidity from deposits to CBDC based on the perceived riskiness of their banks. We find that the introduction of CBDC exacerbates bank-runs and may lead to financial instability phenomena. The effect can be changed by introducing a limit on CBDC holdings. The adoption of CBDC has little effect on macroeconomic variables but the interest rate on loans to firms goes up and credit goes down in a limited way. CBDC leads to a redistribution of wealth from firms and banks to households with a higher bank default rate. CBDC may have negative welfare effects, but a bound on holding enables a welfare improvement.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_21071
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Central Bank Digital Currency, Flight-to-Quality, and Bank-Runs in an Agent-Based Model
Barucci, Emilio
Gurgone, Andrea
Iori, Giulia
Azzone, Michele
General Economics
Economics
Multiagent Systems
I.6.3
We analyse financial stability and welfare impacts associated with the introduction of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in a macroeconomic agent-based model. The model considers firms, banks, and households interacting on labour, goods, credit, and interbank markets. Households move their liquidity from deposits to CBDC based on the perceived riskiness of their banks. We find that the introduction of CBDC exacerbates bank-runs and may lead to financial instability phenomena. The effect can be changed by introducing a limit on CBDC holdings. The adoption of CBDC has little effect on macroeconomic variables but the interest rate on loans to firms goes up and credit goes down in a limited way. CBDC leads to a redistribution of wealth from firms and banks to households with a higher bank default rate. CBDC may have negative welfare effects, but a bound on holding enables a welfare improvement.
title Central Bank Digital Currency, Flight-to-Quality, and Bank-Runs in an Agent-Based Model
topic General Economics
Economics
Multiagent Systems
I.6.3
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.21071