Data as a Lever: A Neighbouring Datasets Perspective on Predictive Multiplicity

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Ganesh, Prakhar, Hsu, Hsiang, Farnadi, Golnoosh
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Ganesh, Prakhar
Hsu, Hsiang
Farnadi, Golnoosh
author_facet Ganesh, Prakhar
Hsu, Hsiang
Farnadi, Golnoosh
contents Multiplicity, the existence of equally good yet competing models, has received growing attention in recent years. While prior work has emphasized modelling choices, the critical role of data in shaping multiplicity has been largely overlooked. In this work, we first introduce a neighbouring datasets framework, arguing that much of data processing can be reframed as choosing between neighbouring datasets. Under this framework, we find a counterintuitive theoretical relationship: neighbouring datasets with greater inter-class distribution overlap exhibit lower multiplicity. Building on this insight, we apply our framework to two domains: active learning and data imputation. For each, we establish natural extensions of the neighbouring datasets perspective, conduct the first systematic study of multiplicity in existing algorithms, and finally, propose novel multiplicity-aware methods, namely, multiplicity-aware data acquisition strategies for active learning and multiplicity-aware data imputation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_21303
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Data as a Lever: A Neighbouring Datasets Perspective on Predictive Multiplicity
Ganesh, Prakhar
Hsu, Hsiang
Farnadi, Golnoosh
Machine Learning
Multiplicity, the existence of equally good yet competing models, has received growing attention in recent years. While prior work has emphasized modelling choices, the critical role of data in shaping multiplicity has been largely overlooked. In this work, we first introduce a neighbouring datasets framework, arguing that much of data processing can be reframed as choosing between neighbouring datasets. Under this framework, we find a counterintuitive theoretical relationship: neighbouring datasets with greater inter-class distribution overlap exhibit lower multiplicity. Building on this insight, we apply our framework to two domains: active learning and data imputation. For each, we establish natural extensions of the neighbouring datasets perspective, conduct the first systematic study of multiplicity in existing algorithms, and finally, propose novel multiplicity-aware methods, namely, multiplicity-aware data acquisition strategies for active learning and multiplicity-aware data imputation.
title Data as a Lever: A Neighbouring Datasets Perspective on Predictive Multiplicity
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.21303