Ridge Boosting is Both Robust and Efficient
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| Format: | Preprint |
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2025
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| _version_ | 1866912976996401152 |
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| author | Bruns-Smith, David Xie, Zhongming Feller, Avi |
| author_facet | Bruns-Smith, David Xie, Zhongming Feller, Avi |
| contents | Estimators in statistics and machine learning must typically trade off between efficiency, having low variance for a fixed target, and distributional robustness, such as multiaccuracy, or having low bias over a range of possible targets. In this paper, we consider a simple estimator, ridge boosting: starting with any initial predictor, perform a single boosting step with (kernel) ridge regression. Surprisingly, we show that ridge boosting simultaneously achieves both efficiency and distributional robustness: for target distribution shifts that lie within an RKHS unit ball, this estimator maintains low bias across all such shifts and has variance at the semiparametric efficiency bound for each target. In addition to bridging otherwise distinct research areas, this result has immediate practical value. Since ridge boosting uses only data from the source distribution, researchers can train a single model to obtain both robust and efficient estimates for multiple target estimands at the same time, eliminating the need to fit separate semiparametric efficient estimators for each target. We assess this approach through simulations and an application estimating the age profile of retirement income. |
| format | Preprint |
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arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_22083 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Ridge Boosting is Both Robust and Efficient Bruns-Smith, David Xie, Zhongming Feller, Avi Methodology Estimators in statistics and machine learning must typically trade off between efficiency, having low variance for a fixed target, and distributional robustness, such as multiaccuracy, or having low bias over a range of possible targets. In this paper, we consider a simple estimator, ridge boosting: starting with any initial predictor, perform a single boosting step with (kernel) ridge regression. Surprisingly, we show that ridge boosting simultaneously achieves both efficiency and distributional robustness: for target distribution shifts that lie within an RKHS unit ball, this estimator maintains low bias across all such shifts and has variance at the semiparametric efficiency bound for each target. In addition to bridging otherwise distinct research areas, this result has immediate practical value. Since ridge boosting uses only data from the source distribution, researchers can train a single model to obtain both robust and efficient estimates for multiple target estimands at the same time, eliminating the need to fit separate semiparametric efficient estimators for each target. We assess this approach through simulations and an application estimating the age profile of retirement income. |
| title | Ridge Boosting is Both Robust and Efficient |
| topic | Methodology |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.22083 |