Data-driven dimensionally decomposed generalized polynomial chaos expansion for forward uncertainty quantification

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Choi, Hojun, Heo, Eunho, Lee, Dongjin
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Choi, Hojun
Heo, Eunho
Lee, Dongjin
author_facet Choi, Hojun
Heo, Eunho
Lee, Dongjin
contents Dimensionally decomposed generalized polynomial chaos expansion (DD-GPCE) efficiently performs forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) in complex engineering systems with high-dimensional random inputs of arbitrary distributions. However, constructing the measure-consistent orthonormal polynomial bases in DD-GPCE requires prior knowledge of input distributions, which is often unavailable in practice. This work introduces a data-driven DD-GPCE method that eliminates the need for such prior knowledge, extending its applicability to UQ with high-dimensional inputs. Input distributions are inferred directly from sample data using smoothed-bootstrap kernel density estimation (KDE), while the DD-GPCE framework enables KDE to handle high-dimensional inputs through low-dimensional marginal estimation. We then use the estimated input distributions to perform a whitening transformation via Monte Carlo Simulation, which enables generation of measure-consistent orthonormal basis functions. We demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed method in both mathematical examples and stochastic dynamic analysis for a practical three-dimensional mobility design involving twenty random inputs. The results indicate that the proposed method produces more accurate estimates of the output mean and variance compared to the conventional data-driven approach that assumes Gaussian input distributions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_22642
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Data-driven dimensionally decomposed generalized polynomial chaos expansion for forward uncertainty quantification
Choi, Hojun
Heo, Eunho
Lee, Dongjin
Numerical Analysis
Dimensionally decomposed generalized polynomial chaos expansion (DD-GPCE) efficiently performs forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) in complex engineering systems with high-dimensional random inputs of arbitrary distributions. However, constructing the measure-consistent orthonormal polynomial bases in DD-GPCE requires prior knowledge of input distributions, which is often unavailable in practice. This work introduces a data-driven DD-GPCE method that eliminates the need for such prior knowledge, extending its applicability to UQ with high-dimensional inputs. Input distributions are inferred directly from sample data using smoothed-bootstrap kernel density estimation (KDE), while the DD-GPCE framework enables KDE to handle high-dimensional inputs through low-dimensional marginal estimation. We then use the estimated input distributions to perform a whitening transformation via Monte Carlo Simulation, which enables generation of measure-consistent orthonormal basis functions. We demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed method in both mathematical examples and stochastic dynamic analysis for a practical three-dimensional mobility design involving twenty random inputs. The results indicate that the proposed method produces more accurate estimates of the output mean and variance compared to the conventional data-driven approach that assumes Gaussian input distributions.
title Data-driven dimensionally decomposed generalized polynomial chaos expansion for forward uncertainty quantification
topic Numerical Analysis
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.22642