SwiftTS: A Swift Selection Framework for Time Series Pre-trained Models via Multi-task Meta-Learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Zhang, Tengxue, Ouyang, Biao, Shu, Yang, Chen, Xinyang, Guo, Chenjuan, Yang, Bin
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Zhang, Tengxue
Ouyang, Biao
Shu, Yang
Chen, Xinyang
Guo, Chenjuan
Yang, Bin
author_facet Zhang, Tengxue
Ouyang, Biao
Shu, Yang
Chen, Xinyang
Guo, Chenjuan
Yang, Bin
contents Pre-trained models exhibit strong generalization to various downstream tasks. However, given the numerous models available in the model hub, identifying the most suitable one by individually fine-tuning is time-consuming. In this paper, we propose \textbf{SwiftTS}, a swift selection framework for time series pre-trained models. To avoid expensive forward propagation through all candidates, SwiftTS adopts a learning-guided approach that leverages historical dataset-model performance pairs across diverse horizons to predict model performance on unseen datasets. It employs a lightweight dual-encoder architecture that embeds time series and candidate models with rich characteristics, computing patchwise compatibility scores between data and model embeddings for efficient selection. To further enhance the generalization across datasets and horizons, we introduce a horizon-adaptive expert composition module that dynamically adjusts expert weights, and the transferable cross-task learning with cross-dataset and cross-horizon task sampling to enhance out-of-distribution (OOD) robustness. Extensive experiments on 14 downstream datasets and 8 pre-trained models demonstrate that SwiftTS achieves state-of-the-art performance in time series pre-trained model selection.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_23051
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle SwiftTS: A Swift Selection Framework for Time Series Pre-trained Models via Multi-task Meta-Learning
Zhang, Tengxue
Ouyang, Biao
Shu, Yang
Chen, Xinyang
Guo, Chenjuan
Yang, Bin
Machine Learning
Pre-trained models exhibit strong generalization to various downstream tasks. However, given the numerous models available in the model hub, identifying the most suitable one by individually fine-tuning is time-consuming. In this paper, we propose \textbf{SwiftTS}, a swift selection framework for time series pre-trained models. To avoid expensive forward propagation through all candidates, SwiftTS adopts a learning-guided approach that leverages historical dataset-model performance pairs across diverse horizons to predict model performance on unseen datasets. It employs a lightweight dual-encoder architecture that embeds time series and candidate models with rich characteristics, computing patchwise compatibility scores between data and model embeddings for efficient selection. To further enhance the generalization across datasets and horizons, we introduce a horizon-adaptive expert composition module that dynamically adjusts expert weights, and the transferable cross-task learning with cross-dataset and cross-horizon task sampling to enhance out-of-distribution (OOD) robustness. Extensive experiments on 14 downstream datasets and 8 pre-trained models demonstrate that SwiftTS achieves state-of-the-art performance in time series pre-trained model selection.
title SwiftTS: A Swift Selection Framework for Time Series Pre-trained Models via Multi-task Meta-Learning
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.23051