Bayesian Nonlinear PDE Inference via Gaussian Process Collocation with Application to the Richards Equation

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Main Authors: Yang, Yumo, Bouazza, Anass Ben, Dong, Xuejun, Zhou, Quan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Yang, Yumo
Bouazza, Anass Ben
Dong, Xuejun
Zhou, Quan
author_facet Yang, Yumo
Bouazza, Anass Ben
Dong, Xuejun
Zhou, Quan
contents The estimation of unknown parameters in nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) offers valuable insights across a wide range of scientific domains. In this work, we focus on estimating plant root parameters in the Richards equation, which is essential for understanding the soil-plant system in agricultural studies. Since conventional methods are computationally intensive and often yield unstable estimates, we develop a new Gaussian process collocation method for efficient Bayesian inference. Unlike existing Gaussian process-based approaches, our method constructs an approximate posterior distribution using samples drawn from a Gaussian process model fitted to the observed data, which does not require any structural assumption about the underlying PDE. Further, we propose to use an importance sampling procedure to correct for the discrepancy between the approximate and true posterior distributions. As an alternative, we also devise a prior-guided Bayesian optimization algorithm leveraging the approximate posterior. Simulation studies demonstrate that our method yields robust estimates under various settings. Finally, we apply our method on a real agricultural data set and estimate the plant root parameters with uncertainty quantification.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_23550
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian Nonlinear PDE Inference via Gaussian Process Collocation with Application to the Richards Equation
Yang, Yumo
Bouazza, Anass Ben
Dong, Xuejun
Zhou, Quan
Methodology
Applications
Computation
Machine Learning
The estimation of unknown parameters in nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) offers valuable insights across a wide range of scientific domains. In this work, we focus on estimating plant root parameters in the Richards equation, which is essential for understanding the soil-plant system in agricultural studies. Since conventional methods are computationally intensive and often yield unstable estimates, we develop a new Gaussian process collocation method for efficient Bayesian inference. Unlike existing Gaussian process-based approaches, our method constructs an approximate posterior distribution using samples drawn from a Gaussian process model fitted to the observed data, which does not require any structural assumption about the underlying PDE. Further, we propose to use an importance sampling procedure to correct for the discrepancy between the approximate and true posterior distributions. As an alternative, we also devise a prior-guided Bayesian optimization algorithm leveraging the approximate posterior. Simulation studies demonstrate that our method yields robust estimates under various settings. Finally, we apply our method on a real agricultural data set and estimate the plant root parameters with uncertainty quantification.
title Bayesian Nonlinear PDE Inference via Gaussian Process Collocation with Application to the Richards Equation
topic Methodology
Applications
Computation
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.23550