Cyclic Counterfactuals under Shift-Scale Interventions

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Main Authors: Saha, Saptarshi, Rathore, Dhruv Vansraj, Garain, Utpal
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Saha, Saptarshi
Rathore, Dhruv Vansraj
Garain, Utpal
author_facet Saha, Saptarshi
Rathore, Dhruv Vansraj
Garain, Utpal
contents Most counterfactual inference frameworks traditionally assume acyclic structural causal models (SCMs), i.e. directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). However, many real-world systems (e.g. biological systems) contain feedback loops or cyclic dependencies that violate acyclicity. In this work, we study counterfactual inference in cyclic SCMs under shift-scale interventions, i.e., soft, policy-style changes that rescale and/or shift a variable's mechanism.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_25005
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Cyclic Counterfactuals under Shift-Scale Interventions
Saha, Saptarshi
Rathore, Dhruv Vansraj
Garain, Utpal
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Statistics Theory
Most counterfactual inference frameworks traditionally assume acyclic structural causal models (SCMs), i.e. directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). However, many real-world systems (e.g. biological systems) contain feedback loops or cyclic dependencies that violate acyclicity. In this work, we study counterfactual inference in cyclic SCMs under shift-scale interventions, i.e., soft, policy-style changes that rescale and/or shift a variable's mechanism.
title Cyclic Counterfactuals under Shift-Scale Interventions
topic Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.25005