Evaluating Extreme Precipitation Forecasts: A Threshold-Weighted, Spatial Verification Approach for Comparing an AI Weather Prediction Model Against a High-Resolution NWP Model
Fuente:
arXiv
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | Loveday, Nicholas, Hertneky, Tracy |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2025
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
Similar Items
Evaluating the Predictability of Selected Weather Extremes with Aurora, an AI Weather Forecast Model
by: Huang, Qin, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Huang, Qin, et al.
Published: (2026)
How does an AI Weather Model Learn to Forecast Extreme Weather?
by: Baiman, Rebecca, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Baiman, Rebecca, et al.
Published: (2025)
The Jive Verification System and its Transformative Impact on Weather Forecasting Operations
by: Loveday, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Loveday, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2024)
Evaluation and statistical correction of area-based heat index forecasts that drive a heatwave warning service
by: Loveday, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Loveday, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2024)
Improving Post-Processing for Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting Using Deep Learning: Learning Precipitation Physics from High-Resolution Observations
by: Lee, ChangJae, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Lee, ChangJae, et al.
Published: (2025)
Evaluation of High-Resolution Gridded Precipitation Datasets Against a Dense Rain Gauge Network During the Indian Summer Monsoon
by: Bankar, Ajay, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Bankar, Ajay, et al.
Published: (2025)
Instability-Aware Steering of an Extreme Atmospheric River in an AI Weather Foundation Model
by: Liu, Moyan, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Liu, Moyan, et al.
Published: (2026)
OMG-HD: A High-Resolution AI Weather Model for End-to-End Forecasts from Observations
by: Zhao, Pengcheng, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Zhao, Pengcheng, et al.
Published: (2024)
Enhancing Near Real Time AI-NWP Hurricane Forecasts: Improving Explainability and Performance Through Physics-Based Models and Land Surface Feedback
by: Sudharsan, Naveen, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Sudharsan, Naveen, et al.
Published: (2025)
Validating Deep Learning Weather Forecast Models on Recent High-Impact Extreme Events
by: Pasche, Olivier C., et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Pasche, Olivier C., et al.
Published: (2024)
AI-Based Regional Emulation for Kilometer-Scale Dynamical Downscaling
by: Sha, Yingkai, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Sha, Yingkai, et al.
Published: (2026)
Dynamics and Model Representation of Two Contrasting Extreme Precipitation Events in the Sahel
by: Sanogo, Souleymane, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Sanogo, Souleymane, et al.
Published: (2025)
NWP-based deep learning for tropical cyclone intensity prediction
by: Kieu, Chanh, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Kieu, Chanh, et al.
Published: (2025)
Super Resolution On Global Weather Forecasts
by: Zhang, Lawrence, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Zhang, Lawrence, et al.
Published: (2024)
Comparing the dynamics of idealized squall lines between NWP and LES models
by: Tijhuis, Mirjam, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Tijhuis, Mirjam, et al.
Published: (2025)
Deep-Learned Observation Operators for Artificial Intelligence Weather Forecasting Models
by: Lieberman, Kelsey, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Lieberman, Kelsey, et al.
Published: (2026)
Predictability of Global AI Weather Models
by: Kieu, Chanh
Published: (2024)
by: Kieu, Chanh
Published: (2024)
Investigating the Robustness of Extreme Precipitation Super-Resolution Across Climates
by: Largeau, Louise, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Largeau, Louise, et al.
Published: (2025)
MetMamba: Regional Weather Forecasting with Spatial-Temporal Mamba Model
by: Qin, Haoyu, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Qin, Haoyu, et al.
Published: (2024)
Future Amplification of Moist Weather Extremes in the Midlatitudes
by: Li, Funing, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Li, Funing, et al.
Published: (2026)
GPC/m: Global Precipitation Climatology by Machine Learning; Quasi-global, Daily, and One Degree Spatial Resolution
by: Takahashi, Hiroshi G.
Published: (2024)
by: Takahashi, Hiroshi G.
Published: (2024)
The Link between Gulf Stream Precipitation and European Blocking in General Circulation Models and the Role of Horizontal Resolution
by: Strommen, Kristian, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Strommen, Kristian, et al.
Published: (2024)
Watch an AI Weather Model Learn (and Unlearn) Tropical Cyclones
by: Baiman, Rebecca, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Baiman, Rebecca, et al.
Published: (2026)
Assimilating Observed Surface Pressure into ML Weather Prediction Models
by: Slivinski, Laura C., et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Slivinski, Laura C., et al.
Published: (2024)
WP-MIP: An Artificial Intelligence, Hybrid and Physically Based Model Intercomparison Project for Weather Prediction
by: McTaggart-Cowan, Ron, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: McTaggart-Cowan, Ron, et al.
Published: (2026)
YanTian: An Application Platform for AI Global Weather Forecasting Models
by: Cheng, Wencong, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Cheng, Wencong, et al.
Published: (2024)
Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasts from Artificial Intelligence Weather Prediction (AIWP) Models
by: DeMaria, Mark, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: DeMaria, Mark, et al.
Published: (2024)
Spatial Temporal Approach for High-Resolution Gridded Wind Forecasting across Southwest Western Australia
by: Chen, Fuling, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Chen, Fuling, et al.
Published: (2024)
Error Growth Dynamic and Predictability of Tropical Cyclone in Machine Learning Weather Prediction Model
by: Pu, Jingchen, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Pu, Jingchen, et al.
Published: (2026)
Predicting Beyond Training Data via Extrapolation versus Translocation: AI Weather Models and Dubai's Unprecedented 2024 Rainfall
by: Sun, Y. Qiang, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Sun, Y. Qiang, et al.
Published: (2025)
Marine Heatwaves in the Arabian Sea: Drivers and Impacts on Atmospheric Circulation and Extreme Precipitation
by: Suhas, D. L., et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Suhas, D. L., et al.
Published: (2026)
Forecasting the Future with Yesterday's Climate: Temperature Bias in AI Weather and Climate Models
by: Landsberg, Jacob B., et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Landsberg, Jacob B., et al.
Published: (2025)
On the Predictive Skill of Artificial Intelligence-based Weather Models for Extreme Events using Uncertainty Quantification
by: Almeida, Rodrigo, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Almeida, Rodrigo, et al.
Published: (2025)
High-Resolution Probabilistic Data-Driven Weather Modeling with a Stretched-Grid
by: Nordhagen, Even Marius, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Nordhagen, Even Marius, et al.
Published: (2025)
Learning Data-driven Surrogate and Correction Models for Satellite Observations in Numerical Weather Prediction
by: Buono, Gian Luca, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Buono, Gian Luca, et al.
Published: (2026)
Global Forecasting of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Using Neural Weather Models
by: Gomez, Milton, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Gomez, Milton, et al.
Published: (2025)
Modeling Multiday Extreme Precipitation Across Eastern Australia: A Dynamical Perspective
by: Kardkasem, Ruethaichanok, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Kardkasem, Ruethaichanok, et al.
Published: (2024)
Epistemic and Aleatoric Uncertainty Quantification in Weather and Climate Models
by: Mansfield, Laura A., et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Mansfield, Laura A., et al.
Published: (2025)
Stratosphere Model Verification with Manufactured Geometry
by: Lawen, Johannes, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Lawen, Johannes, et al.
Published: (2026)
A Likelihood-Based Generative Approach for Spatially Consistent Precipitation Downscaling
by: González-Abad, Jose
Published: (2024)
by: González-Abad, Jose
Published: (2024)
Similar Items
-
Evaluating the Predictability of Selected Weather Extremes with Aurora, an AI Weather Forecast Model
by: Huang, Qin, et al.
Published: (2026) -
How does an AI Weather Model Learn to Forecast Extreme Weather?
by: Baiman, Rebecca, et al.
Published: (2025) -
The Jive Verification System and its Transformative Impact on Weather Forecasting Operations
by: Loveday, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2024) -
Evaluation and statistical correction of area-based heat index forecasts that drive a heatwave warning service
by: Loveday, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2024) -
Improving Post-Processing for Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting Using Deep Learning: Learning Precipitation Physics from High-Resolution Observations
by: Lee, ChangJae, et al.
Published: (2025)