Cover Image

Conformal Prediction Beyond the Horizon: Distribution-Free Inference for Policy Evaluation

Fuente: arXiv

Saved in:

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Gan, Feichen, Lu, Youcun, Zhang, Yingying, Liu, Yukun
Format:	Preprint
Published:	2025
Subjects:	Machine Learning
Online Access:	Acceder al recurso
Tags:	Add Tag No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!

Similar Items

Distribution-Free Process Monitoring with Conformal Prediction
by: Burger, Christopher
Published: (2025)

Beyond Conformal Predictors: Adaptive Conformal Inference with Confidence Predictors
by: Szabadváry, Johan Hallberg, et al.
Published: (2024)

Beyond Procedure: Substantive Fairness in Conformal Prediction
by: Liu, Pengqi, et al.
Published: (2026)

Multi-Source Conformal Inference Under Distribution Shift
by: Liu, Yi, et al.
Published: (2024)

Adaptive Coverage Policies in Conformal Prediction
by: Gauthier, Etienne, et al.
Published: (2025)

Distribution-Free Conformal Joint Prediction Regions for Neural Marked Temporal Point Processes
by: Dheur, Victor, et al.
Published: (2024)

Conformal Prediction for Signal Temporal Logic Inference
by: Li, Danyang, et al.
Published: (2025)

Inference-time Unlearning Using Conformal Prediction
by: Chowdhury, Somnath Basu Roy, et al.
Published: (2026)

Predictive Inference With Fast Feature Conformal Prediction
by: Tang, Zihao, et al.
Published: (2024)

Extending Prediction-Powered Inference through Conformal Prediction
by: Csillag, Daniel, et al.
Published: (2025)

Conformalized-DeepONet: A Distribution-Free Framework for Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Operator Networks
by: Moya, Christian, et al.
Published: (2024)

Distribution-Free Predictive Inference under Unknown Temporal Drift
by: Han, Elise, et al.
Published: (2024)

Distribution-informed Online Conformal Prediction
by: Hu, Dongjian, et al.
Published: (2025)

Distributional Offline Policy Evaluation with Predictive Error Guarantees
by: Wu, Runzhe, et al.
Published: (2023)

Statistical Inference of the Value Function for Reinforcement Learning in Infinite Horizon Settings
by: Shi, C., et al.
Published: (2020)

Online Estimation and Inference for Robust Policy Evaluation in Reinforcement Learning
by: Liu, Weidong, et al.
Published: (2023)

The Benefit of Being Bayesian in Online Conformal Prediction
by: Zhang, Zhiyu, et al.
Published: (2024)

Flow-Based Conformal Predictive Distributions
by: Harris, Trevor
Published: (2026)

Multi-Distribution Robust Conformal Prediction
by: Yang, Yuqi, et al.
Published: (2026)

A Policy Gradient-Based Sequence-to-Sequence Method for Time Series Prediction
by: Sima, Qi, et al.
Published: (2024)

ProbTS: Benchmarking Point and Distributional Forecasting across Diverse Prediction Horizons
by: Zhang, Jiawen, et al.
Published: (2023)

Bellman Conformal Inference: Calibrating Prediction Intervals For Time Series
by: Yang, Zitong, et al.
Published: (2024)

Beyond Uncertainty Sets: Leveraging Optimal Transport to Extend Conformal Predictive Distribution to Multivariate Settings
by: Ndiaye, Eugene
Published: (2025)

Kandinsky Conformal Prediction: Beyond Class- and Covariate-Conditional Coverage
by: Bairaktari, Konstantina, et al.
Published: (2025)

MARPLE: A Benchmark for Long-Horizon Inference
by: Jin, Emily, et al.
Published: (2024)

Recursively Feasible Shrinking-Horizon MPC in Dynamic Environments with Conformal Prediction Guarantees
by: Stamouli, Charis, et al.
Published: (2024)

Online Conformal Inference with Retrospective Adjustment for Faster Adaptation to Distribution Shift
by: Jun, Jungbin, et al.
Published: (2025)

Temporal Conformal Prediction (TCP): A Distribution-Free Statistical and Machine Learning Framework for Adaptive Risk Forecasting
by: Aich, Agnideep, et al.
Published: (2025)

Distribution-free Conformal Prediction for Ordinal Classification
by: Chakraborty, Subhrasish, et al.
Published: (2024)

Conformal Predictive Distributions for Order Fulfillment Time Forecasting
by: Ye, Tinghan, et al.
Published: (2025)

Distribution-informed Efficient Conformal Prediction for Full Ranking
by: Liao, Wenbo, et al.
Published: (2026)

Locally Adaptive Conformal Inference for Operator Models
by: Harris, Trevor, et al.
Published: (2025)

Likelihood-Free Adaptive Bayesian Inference via Nonparametric Distribution Matching
by: Lu, Wenhui Sophia, et al.
Published: (2025)

Beyond Data Splitting: Full-Data Conformal Prediction by Differential Privacy
by: Cho, Young Hyun, et al.
Published: (2026)

Conformal Structured Prediction
by: Zhang, Botong, et al.
Published: (2024)

UI-Copilot: Advancing Long-Horizon GUI Automation via Tool-Integrated Policy Optimization
by: Lu, Zhengxi, et al.
Published: (2026)

Conformal Off-Policy Prediction for Multi-Agent Systems
by: Kuipers, Tom, et al.
Published: (2024)

Distributed Conformal Prediction via Message Passing
by: Wen, Haifeng, et al.
Published: (2025)

Wasserstein-regularized Conformal Prediction under General Distribution Shift
by: Xu, Rui, et al.
Published: (2025)

Conformal Counterfactual Inference under Hidden Confounding
by: Chen, Zonghao, et al.
Published: (2024)