Multi-Output Robust and Conjugate Gaussian Processes

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Rooijakkers, Joshua, Rønneberg, Leiv, Briol, François-Xavier, Knoblauch, Jeremias, Altamirano, Matias
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Rooijakkers, Joshua
Rønneberg, Leiv
Briol, François-Xavier
Knoblauch, Jeremias
Altamirano, Matias
author_facet Rooijakkers, Joshua
Rønneberg, Leiv
Briol, François-Xavier
Knoblauch, Jeremias
Altamirano, Matias
contents Multi-output Gaussian process (MOGP) regression allows modelling dependencies among multiple correlated response variables. Similarly to standard Gaussian processes, MOGPs are sensitive to model misspecification and outliers, which can distort predictions within individual outputs. This situation can be further exacerbated by multiple anomalous response variables whose errors propagate due to correlations between outputs. To handle this situation, we extend and generalise the robust and conjugate Gaussian process (RCGP) framework introduced by Altamirano et al. (2024). This results in the multi-output RCGP (MO-RCGP): a provably robust MOGP that is conjugate, and jointly captures correlations across outputs. We thoroughly evaluate our approach through applications in finance and cancer research.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2510_26401
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Multi-Output Robust and Conjugate Gaussian Processes
Rooijakkers, Joshua
Rønneberg, Leiv
Briol, François-Xavier
Knoblauch, Jeremias
Altamirano, Matias
Machine Learning
Multi-output Gaussian process (MOGP) regression allows modelling dependencies among multiple correlated response variables. Similarly to standard Gaussian processes, MOGPs are sensitive to model misspecification and outliers, which can distort predictions within individual outputs. This situation can be further exacerbated by multiple anomalous response variables whose errors propagate due to correlations between outputs. To handle this situation, we extend and generalise the robust and conjugate Gaussian process (RCGP) framework introduced by Altamirano et al. (2024). This results in the multi-output RCGP (MO-RCGP): a provably robust MOGP that is conjugate, and jointly captures correlations across outputs. We thoroughly evaluate our approach through applications in finance and cancer research.
title Multi-Output Robust and Conjugate Gaussian Processes
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.26401